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Bursa Yildirimspor vs Corluspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 Minarelicavus Spor Tesisleri
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Arslantas M.
Assist: Ozler F.
45' Event
Gundogdu H.
Assist: Arslantas M.
55' Event
Akyel Y.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 game between Bursa Yildirimspor and Corluspor finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Corluspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Bursa Yildirimspor
22%
Draws
60%
Corluspor
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Corluspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Corluspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Corluspor are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 11%
Corluspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursa Yildirimspor Corluspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.13 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Corluspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
1:1
Apr 23, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Corluspor
2:3
Mar 25, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Corluspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Corluspor
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Corluspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursa Yildirimspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bektas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Corluspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Arslantas M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gundogdu H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursa Yildirimspor 18 / 100
Corluspor 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursa Yildirimspor Corluspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursa Yildirimspor's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Corluspor has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Bursa Yildirimspor remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bursa Yildirimspor VS Corluspor
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Corluspor4
Bursa Yildirimspor3
Kucukcekmece2
Etimesgut1
Erciyes 383
Mazidagi1
Silifke2
Malatya4
52 Orduspor7
Fatsa Bld.2
Karadeniz Eregli0
Yozgat4
Eskisehirspor4
Balikesirspor2
Karsiyaka0
Ayvalikgucu2
Semi-finals
Corluspor4
Kucukcekmece2
Erciyes 383
Malatya4
52 Orduspor2
Yozgat1
Eskisehirspor0
Ayvalikgucu2
Final
Corluspor1
Malatya0
52 Orduspor2
Ayvalikgucu1