Sport Picks
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Etimesgut - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
17'
17'
Guventurk G.
Assist: Isik A. M.
80'
80'
Kaya E.
80'
80'
Kaya E.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 game between Bursa Yildirimspor and Etimesgut finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etimesgut
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Etimesgut come out ahead of Bursa Yildirimspor on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 21%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bursa Yildirimspor | Etimesgut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Etimesgut
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Etimesgut vs Bursa Yildirimspor
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bursa Yildirimspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Guventurk G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Etimesgut Compare
Top Goalscorer Tuzun B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bursa Yildirimspor 32 / 100
Etimesgut 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bursa Yildirimspor Etimesgut
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etimesgut Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Bursa Yildirimspor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Bursa Yildirimspor found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Etimesgut let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Bursa Yildirimspor VS Etimesgut
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Bursa Yildirimspor
(Home) 07 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 0 Amasyaspor
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0 Bucaspor 1928
27 Sept
Gemlikspor
0 : 0 Bursa Yildirimspor
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2 Karsiyaka
13 Sept
Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu
0 : 2 Bursa Yildirimspor
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 0 Amasyaspor
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0 Bucaspor 1928
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2 Karsiyaka
05 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0 Soke 1970
23 Apr
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 3 Corluspor
Page 1 of 4
Etimesgut
(Away) 07 Oct
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1 : 5 Etimesgut
03 Oct
Etimesgut
1 : 0 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3 Etimesgut
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0 Bucaspor 1928
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0 Etimesgut
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1 : 5 Etimesgut
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3 Etimesgut
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0 Etimesgut
27 Apr
Kucukcekmece
2 : 0 Etimesgut
12 Apr
Kucukcekmece
3 : 1 Etimesgut
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inegol Kafkas | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 49:26 | 62 |
| 2 | Corluspor | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 57:23 | 61 |
| 3 | Kucukcekmece | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 54:30 | 56 |
| 4 | Etimesgut | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 36:23 | 52 |
| 5 | Bursa Yildirimspor | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 38:31 | 49 |
| 6 | Silivrispor | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42:36 | 43 |
| 7 | Buyukcekmece Gucu | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 34:35 | 40 |
| 8 | Gemlikspor | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 38 |
| 9 | Yesil Yalova FK | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38:36 | 37 |
| 10 | Galata Spor Kulubu | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 34:34 | 37 |
| 11 | Bulvarspor | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:47 | 35 |
| 12 | Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 13 | Cankaya FK | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 38:37 | 34 |
| 14 | Kestel Cilekspor | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 27:39 | 30 |
| 15 | 1926 Polatli Belediye | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 24:44 | 28 |
| 16 | Edirnespor Genclik | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 22:65 | 15 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
