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Bursaspor vs Erokspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Bursa Büyükşehir Belediye Stadyumu, Bursa
Bursaspor Logo

Bursaspor

2 - 2
FT
Erokspor Logo

Erokspor

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Iheanacho K.
Assist: Saranic I.
18' Event
Okyar M.
20' Event
Lincoln
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig game between Bursaspor and Erokspor finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Bursaspor
30%
Draws
9%
Erokspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bursaspor come out ahead of Erokspor on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Bursaspor taking it.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Erokspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursaspor Erokspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 2.25 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 1. Lig
Bursaspor vs Erokspor
2:2
Apr 13, 2024 2. Lig White Group
Erokspor vs Bursaspor
5:1
Dec 2, 2023 2. Lig White Group
Bursaspor vs Erokspor
1:1
Mar 11, 2023 2. Lig White Group
Erokspor vs Bursaspor
2:2
Oct 1, 2022 2. Lig White Group
Bursaspor vs Erokspor
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Iheanacho K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lincoln
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Erokspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Okyar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Erdogan Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursaspor 85 / 100
Erokspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursaspor Erokspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursaspor scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bursaspor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Erokspor conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bursaspor VS Erokspor
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bursaspor

(Home)
19 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
29 Aug
Kayserispor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
Page 1 of 6

Erokspor

(Away)
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
03 Sept
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Erokspor
30 Aug
Erokspor
0 : 1
Igdir FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
4 Batman Petrolspor 8 5 1 2 15:13 16
5 Sariyer 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 Keciorengucu 8 3 4 1 17:10 13
7 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
8 Antalyaspor 8 4 0 4 14:13 12
9 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
10 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
11 Bandirmaspor 8 2 4 2 12:5 10
12 Pendikspor 8 2 4 2 10:13 10
13 Manisa FK 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
14 Bodrumspor 8 1 5 2 7:6 8
15 Sivasspor 8 1 5 2 9:11 8
16 Umraniyespor 8 1 3 4 6:9 6
17 Erokspor 8 0 5 3 4:10 5
18 Istanbulspor AS 8 1 2 5 7:19 5
19 Vanspor FK 8 1 3 4 8:17 4
20 Boluspor 8 0 1 7 3:20 1
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