Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bursaspor vs Soma Spor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 Timsah Park, Bursa
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gultekin E.
Assist: Depe I.
51' Event
Akcan E.
Assist: Gultekin E.
65' Event
Saglik E.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Bursaspor in this 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bursaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Bursaspor
20%
Draws
28%
Soma Spor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bursaspor lately — more wins on the board than Soma Spor.
  • Win probability leans Bursaspor's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Soma Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursaspor Soma Spor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2.33 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Bursaspor vs Soma Spor
5:1
Dec 16, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Soma Spor vs Bursaspor
0:3
May 16, 2023 2. Lig White Group
Bursaspor vs Soma Spor
3:5
Dec 11, 2022 2. Lig White Group
Soma Spor vs Bursaspor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Gultekin E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Akcan E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Soma Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Celik N. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursaspor 86 / 100
Soma Spor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursaspor Soma Spor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bursaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursaspor scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 5.25 goals when they meet.

Bursaspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Soma Spor has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bursaspor VS Soma Spor
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bursaspor

(Home)
19 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
13 Sept
Bursaspor
2 : 2
Erokspor
07 Sept
Manisa FK
1 : 2
Bursaspor
03 Sept
Bursaspor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
29 Aug
Kayserispor
1 : 2
Bursaspor
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Soma Spor

(Away)
26 Sept
Ankaraspor
0 : 1
Soma Spor
20 Sept
Soma Spor
1 : 3
Musspor
12 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
1 : 3
Soma Spor
06 Sept
Soma Spor
3 : 3
Aksaray Bld.
25 Apr
Soma Spor
2 : 3
K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bursaspor 34 25 5 4 87:19 80
2 Mardin 1969 34 22 5 7 67:25 71
3 Musspor 34 21 7 6 82:35 70
4 Aliaga 34 21 6 7 81:32 69
5 K. Istklalspor 34 21 4 9 82:33 67
6 Isparta 32 Spor 34 18 9 7 70:36 63
7 Guzide Gebzespor 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
8 Menemenspor 34 15 6 13 57:51 51
9 Ankara Demirspor 34 14 7 13 47:47 49
10 Aksaray Bld. 34 11 14 9 52:38 47
11 Trabzon FK 34 13 8 13 54:51 47
12 Arnavutkoy Bl. 34 13 7 14 40:36 46
13 Fethiyespor 34 11 11 12 52:41 44
14 Kirklarelispor 34 9 9 16 44:49 36
15 Soma Spor 34 8 6 20 41:68 30
16 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 33 4 3 26 22:97 12
17 Adanaspor AS 33 2 1 30 14:159 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 34 0 2 32 8:114 -52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)