Sport Picks

Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 Timsah Park

Bursaspor

5 - 1

Soma Spor

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Gultekin E.

Assist: Depe I.

51'

Akcan E.

Assist: Gultekin E.

65'

Saglik E.

Own Goal

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bursaspor in this 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bursaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Bursaspor

Draws

Soma Spor

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Bursaspor lately — more wins on the board than Soma Spor.
Win probability leans Bursaspor's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Bursaspor Clean Sheet 68%

Soma Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bursaspor	Soma Spor
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	22	8
Draws	5	5
Losses	4	17
Goals Scored	2	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.25	1
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 2. Lig Red Group

Bursaspor vs Soma Spor

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 0 - 2

5:1

Dec 16, 2025 2. Lig Red Group

Soma Spor vs Bursaspor

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

0:3

May 16, 2023 2. Lig White Group

Bursaspor vs Soma Spor

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

3:5

Dec 11, 2022 2. Lig White Group

Soma Spor vs Bursaspor

Possession: 40% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bursaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Gultekin E.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Akcan E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Soma Spor Compare

Top Goalscorer Celik N. B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursaspor 95 / 100

Soma Spor 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bursaspor Soma Spor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursaspor scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 5.25 goals when they meet.

Bursaspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Soma Spor has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bursaspor VS Soma Spor

2 Goals Scored 1.5

0.25 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	34	25	5	4	87:19	80
2	Mardin 1969	34	22	5	7	67:25	71
3	Musspor	34	21	7	6	82:35	70
4	Aliaga	34	21	6	7	81:32	69
5	K. Istklalspor	34	21	4	9	82:33	67
6	Isparta 32 Spor	34	18	9	7	70:36	63
7	Guzide Gebzespor	34	16	10	8	56:31	58
8	Menemenspor	34	15	6	13	57:51	51
9	Ankara Demirspor	34	14	7	13	47:47	49
10	Aksaray Bld.	34	11	14	9	52:38	47
11	Trabzon FK	34	13	8	13	54:51	47
12	Arnavutkoy Bl.	34	13	7	14	40:36	46
13	Fethiyespor	34	11	11	12	52:41	44
14	Kirklarelispor	34	9	9	16	44:49	36
15	Soma Spor	34	8	6	20	41:68	30
16	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	33	4	3	26	22:97	12
17	Adanaspor AS	33	2	1	30	14:159	1
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	34	0	2	32	8:114	-52