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Bursaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 Timsah Park
Sun, Jan 11, 2026
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bursaspor host Yeni Malatyaspor in the 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026. Bursaspor go into this one as the clear favorite. Yeni Malatyaspor have shipped 2.63 goals a game lately, while Bursaspor have conceded 0.25 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Bursaspor slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 11, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 0.63) point toward Bursaspor. Bursaspor in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bursaspor
6%
Draws
4%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bursaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bursaspor lately — more wins on the board than Yeni Malatyaspor.
  • Bursaspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Bursaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Yeni Malatyaspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bursaspor Yeni Malatyaspor
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 0
Draws 5 2
Losses 5 28
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 0.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Bursaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor
3:0
Aug 24, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Bursaspor
0:8
May 26, 2019 Super Lig
Yeni Malatyaspor vs Bursaspor
1:2
Jan 11, 2019 Club Friendly
Bursaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor
0:4
Dec 23, 2018 Super Lig
Bursaspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bursaspor 85 / 100
Yeni Malatyaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bursaspor Yeni Malatyaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bursaspor's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Yeni Malatyaspor has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Bursaspor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bursaspor VS Yeni Malatyaspor
2 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bursaspor34255487:1980
2Mardin 196934225767:2571
3Musspor34217682:3570
4Aliaga34216781:3269
5K. Istklalspor34214982:3367
6Isparta 32 Spor34189770:3663
7Guzide Gebzespor341610856:3158
8Menemenspor341561357:5151
9Ankara Demirspor341471347:4749
10Aksaray Bld.341114952:3847
11Trabzon FK341381354:5147
12Arnavutkoy Bl.341371440:3646
13Fethiyespor3411111252:4144
14Kirklarelispor34991644:4936
15Soma Spor34862041:6830
16Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu33432622:9712
17Adanaspor AS33213014:1591
18Yeni Malatyaspor3402328:114-52