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Burundi vs Botswana

World World

Friendly International 2024 Mahamasina Municipal Stadium, Antananarivo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Burundi
15%
Draws
28%
Botswana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burundi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Botswana haven't matched Burundi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Burundi a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Burundi Clean Sheet 68%
Botswana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burundi Botswana
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.14 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2024 Friendly International
Burundi vs Botswana
0:0
Jun 1, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Botswana vs Burundi
1:0
May 18, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Burundi vs Botswana
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burundi 95 / 100
Botswana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burundi Botswana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burundi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Botswana conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Botswana's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Burundi scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 0.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Burundi VS Botswana
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burundi

(Home)
26 May
Morocco
5 : 0
Burundi
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
14 Oct
Gabon
2 : 0
Burundi
09 Oct
Burundi
0 : 1
Kenya
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Botswana

(Away)
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
28 Mar
Botswana
0 : 3
Zimbabwe
30 Dec
Botswana
0 : 3
D.R. Congo
27 Dec
Benin
1 : 0
Botswana
23 Dec
Senegal
3 : 0
Botswana
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