Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2024 Mahamasina Municipal Stadium

Botswana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Burundi play Botswana in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Burundi averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Botswana averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. In past meetings, Burundi won 0, Botswana won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 25, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Burundi and 0.88 for Botswana. This points to a Burundi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Burundi

35%

Draws

30%

Botswana

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Burundi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Burundi picked up more points recently compared to Botswana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 56%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27%

Burundi Clean Sheet 25%

Botswana Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Burundi	Botswana
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	9	6
Draws	4	8
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	1.14	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.29	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2024 Friendly International

Burundi vs Botswana

Possession: 40% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Jun 1, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations

Botswana vs Burundi

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

May 18, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations

Burundi vs Botswana

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burundi 37 / 100

Botswana 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Burundi Botswana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Burundi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Burundi attacking → ← attacking Botswana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burundi scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Botswana let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 0.33 goals.

Burundi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Botswana lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 26

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13