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Burundi vs Mauritania

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stade Larbi Zaouli, Casablanca
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AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Burundi and Mauritania finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Burundi
15%
Draws
34%
Mauritania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burundi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burundi come out ahead of Mauritania on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Burundi Clean Sheet 20%
Mauritania Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burundi Mauritania
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 9 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International
Burundi vs Mauritania
0:0
Nov 15, 2020 Africa Cup of Nations
Burundi vs Mauritania
3:1
Nov 11, 2020 Africa Cup of Nations
Mauritania vs Burundi
1:1
Jan 18, 2014 African Nations Championship
Burundi vs Mauritania
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burundi 31 / 100
Mauritania 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burundi Mauritania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burundi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Mauritania's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Burundi scored in 41% of their last 29 games.

Mauritania let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Burundi VS Mauritania
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burundi

(Home)
26 May
Morocco
5 : 0
Burundi
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
14 Oct
Gabon
2 : 0
Burundi
09 Oct
Burundi
0 : 1
Kenya
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Mauritania

(Away)
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2
Kuwait
15 Nov
Libya
1 : 0
Mauritania
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