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Burundi vs Zambia

World World

Friendly International 2025
Tue, Nov 18, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Burundi host Zambia in the Friendly International 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Zambia have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Burundi have conceded 1.22 and scored 1.04. Past meetings favor Zambia slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 18, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.88, favoring Zambia. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Burundi
20%
Draws
20%
Zambia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burundi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burundi come out ahead of Zambia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Burundi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59.4%
Burundi Clean Sheet 20%
Zambia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burundi Zambia
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.04 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Burundi vs Zambia
0:0
Dec 8, 2013 CECAFA Championship
Zambia vs Burundi
1:0
Dec 1, 2013 CECAFA Championship
Zambia vs Burundi
1:0
Nov 30, 2010 CECAFA Championship
Zambia vs Burundi
0:0
Jan 4, 2009 Friendly International
Burundi vs Zambia
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burundi 85 / 100
Zambia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burundi Zambia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burundi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia let in goals in 64% of their last 25 matches.

Away concern: Zambia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Burundi scored in 37% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Burundi VS Zambia
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Burundi

(Home)
25 Sept
Togo
1 : 0
Burundi
26 May
Morocco
5 : 0
Burundi
31 Mar
Burundi
4 : 0
Chad
27 Mar
Chad
0 : 4
Burundi
14 Oct
Gabon
2 : 0
Burundi
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Zambia

(Away)
25 Sept
Algeria
3 : 1
Zambia
31 Mar
Argentina
5 : 0
Zambia
29 Dec
Zambia
0 : 3
Morocco
26 Dec
Zambia
0 : 0
Comoros
22 Dec
Mali
1 : 1
Zambia
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