Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2025

Zambia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Burundi play Zambia in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Burundi averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Zambia averaged 1 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Burundi won 0, Zambia won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Nov 18, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Burundi and 0.94 for Zambia. This points to a Zambia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Burundi

28%

Draws

37%

Zambia

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Zambia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Burundi picked up more points recently compared to Zambia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 61%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%

Burundi Clean Sheet 24%

Zambia Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 55%

Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Burundi	Zambia
Matches Played	28	26
Wins	9	8
Draws	4	4
Losses	15	14
Goals Scored	1.14	1
Goals Conceded	1.29	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International

Burundi vs Zambia

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Dec 8, 2013 CECAFA Championship

Zambia vs Burundi

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Dec 1, 2013 CECAFA Championship

Zambia vs Burundi

Possession: 46% - 43% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Nov 30, 2010 CECAFA Championship

Zambia vs Burundi

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 4 - 3

0:0

Jan 4, 2009 Friendly International

Burundi vs Zambia

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burundi 36 / 100

Zambia 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Burundi Zambia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zambia or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Burundi attacking → ← attacking Zambia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burundi scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Zambia let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Burundi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Zambia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 28

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38