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Burundi W vs Kenya W

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship Women
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Amunyolet M.
5' Event
Amunyolet M.
90' Event
Mboya F.

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Championship Women game between Burundi W and Kenya W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kenya W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Burundi W
15%
Draws
42%
Kenya W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Burundi W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kenya W come out ahead of Burundi W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kenya W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CECAFA Championship Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Kenya W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Burundi W Clean Sheet 10%
Kenya W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Burundi W Kenya W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 2 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.53 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 CECAFA Championship Women
Burundi W vs Kenya W
0:3
Nov 23, 2019 CECAFA Championship Women
Kenya W vs Burundi W
5:0
Sep 13, 2016 CECAFA Championship Women
Burundi W vs Kenya W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Burundi W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Kenya W Compare

Top Goalscorer Amunyolet M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mboya F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Burundi W 10 / 100
Kenya W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Burundi W Kenya W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kenya W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Burundi W's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kenya W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Kenya W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Burundi W VS Kenya W
1 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Burundi W

(Home)
21 Jun
Burundi W
1 : 3
South Sudan W
17 Jun
Tanzania W
6 : 0
Burundi W
15 Jun
Burundi W
0 : 3
Kenya W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Burkina Faso W
4 : 1
Burundi W
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Kenya W

(Away)
03 Aug
Kenya W
0 : 2
Algeria W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Morocco W
4 : 0
Kenya W
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
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