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Bury FC vs 1874 Northwich

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Elhassan S.
32' Event
Trialist
38' Event
Lowe B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Bury FC and 1874 Northwich finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bury FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bury FC
30%
Draws
34%
1874 Northwich
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bury FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bury FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Bury FC taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 16%
1874 Northwich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bury FC 1874 Northwich
Matches Played 19 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 1 6
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.38 2.2
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Bury FC vs 1874 Northwich
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bury FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Elhassan S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lowe B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

1874 Northwich Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist
1 Goals
Assists Leader Woolley M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury FC 36 / 100
1874 Northwich 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bury FC 1874 Northwich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1874 Northwich let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Bury FC scored in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Bury FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bury FC VS 1874 Northwich
2.38 Goals Scored 2.2
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Bury FC

(Home)
21 Jul
Bury FC
4 : 0
Wigan U21
11 Jul
Chorley
1 : 2
Bury FC
04 Oct
Runcorn Linnets
7 : 0
Bury FC
16 Sept
Wythenshawe Town
1 : 2
Bury FC
26 Jul
Radcliffe
3 : 2
Bury FC
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1874 Northwich

(Away)
14 Sept
Guiseley
3 : 0
1874 Northwich
31 Aug
1874 Northwich
3 : 2
Stocksbridge
30 Jul
Witton Albion
1 : 6
1874 Northwich
24 Jul
1874 Northwich
1 : 4
Salford
16 Jul
Kidsgrove Athletic
1 : 1
1874 Northwich
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