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Bury FC vs Avro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Gigg Lane, Bury
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bury FC host Avro in the NPL Premier Division. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Avro have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Bury FC have conceded 1.41 and scored 2.3. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.38, favoring Bury FC. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bury FC
15%
Draws
39%
Avro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bury FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bury FC at 2.3 per game, Avro at 2.03.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bury FC Clean Sheet 17%
Avro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bury FC Avro
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.3 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury FC 30 / 100
Avro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bury FC Avro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bury FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bury FC scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Avro has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Bury FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Avro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bury FC VS Avro
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bury FC

(Home)
20 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1
Bury FC
17 Oct
Bury FC
1 : 1
Harrogate
10 Oct
Alfreton
2 : 3
Bury FC
06 Oct
Stockton
1 : 0
Bury FC
03 Oct
Bury FC
2 : 1
Bromsgrove
Page 1 of 6

Avro

(Away)
21 Oct
Avro
3 : 2
Ashton United
17 Oct
Ilkeston
2 : 0
Avro
13 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Avro
10 Oct
Avro
0 : 1
Guiseley
07 Oct
Avro
5 : 3
Lancaster
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 15 10 4 1 33:13 34
2 Cleethorpes 14 9 3 2 31:9 30
3 Guiseley 13 9 1 3 27:12 28
4 Avro 14 9 1 4 37:27 28
5 Gainsborough 13 8 1 4 29:16 25
6 Workington 15 7 3 5 26:25 24
7 Warrington Town 13 6 5 2 24:19 23
8 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
9 Curzon Ashton 13 7 1 5 24:17 22
10 Alfreton 15 6 2 7 21:17 20
11 Lancaster 15 6 2 7 20:28 20
12 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
13 Whitby 14 6 1 7 20:33 19
14 Hyde 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
15 Leek Town 13 3 5 5 26:26 14
16 Ashton United 14 3 5 6 17:18 14
17 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
18 AFC Emley 14 3 5 6 15:26 14
19 Stockton 15 3 3 9 18:28 12
20 Bamber Bridge 14 2 4 8 17:34 10
21 Ilkeston 15 3 1 11 10:34 10
22 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
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