Sport Picks

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Bury Town vs Needham Market

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
McGrath J.
90' Event
Chambers S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Bury Town
22%
Draws
18%
Needham Market
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bury Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Needham Market lately — more wins on the board than Bury Town.
  • Bury Town are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 18%
Needham Market Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bury Town Needham Market
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs Needham Market
1:1
Oct 22, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Needham Market vs Bury Town
4:2
Jul 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Needham Market vs Bury Town
4:0
Jul 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Bury Town vs Needham Market
3:1
Sep 8, 2020 Club Friendly
Needham Market vs Bury Town
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bury Town Compare

Top Goalscorer McGrath J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Needham Market Compare

Top Goalscorer Chambers S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury Town 58 / 100
Needham Market 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bury Town Needham Market

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bury Town's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Needham Market has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Bury Town has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bury Town VS Needham Market
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harborough422811381:3395
2Spalding United4225107103:5485
3Real Bedford42249984:4781
4Kettering422191274:5272
5Halesowen4220101285:6070
6Needham Market4220101264:5370
7Redditch422171467:5870
8Quorn421981578:7165
9Worcester4217121364:4463
10Leiston4216151165:5863
11Stratford4217101561:5461
12Banbury421791651:5660
13Bury Town4215131461:5358
14Alvechurch421482049:5550
15Stourbridge4212141658:6850
16Stortford4213101953:6749
17Stamford421382141:6447
18Bromsgrove421282252:7344
19St Ives Town429122150:7339
20Barwell42982552:8535
21Royston Town425102735:8225
22Sudbury42672947:11525