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Bury Town vs Redditch

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
King D.
24' Event
Page C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bury Town
35%
Draws
31%
Redditch
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Redditch lately — more wins on the board than Bury Town.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 18%
Redditch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bury Town Redditch
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 12 8
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.76 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs Redditch
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Redditch vs Bury Town
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bury Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Page C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Redditch Compare

Top Goalscorer King D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury Town 31 / 100
Redditch 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bury Town Redditch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bury Town's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Redditch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Bury Town stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bury Town VS Redditch
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bury Town

(Home)
11 Aug
Stamford
0 : 1
Bury Town
08 Aug
Bury Town
1 : 0
Halesowen
01 Aug
Bury Town
3 : 3
Sudbury
10 Jul
Mildenhall
1 : 4
Bury Town
25 Apr
Bury Town
0 : 1
Kettering
Page 1 of 6

Redditch

(Away)
11 Aug
Stratford
0 : 0
Redditch
08 Aug
Redditch
1 : 1
Leighton Town
27 Jul
Redditch
3 : 1
Coventry United
11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2
Redditch
07 Jul
Evesham
1 : 2
Redditch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harborough 42 28 11 3 81:33 95
2 Spalding United 42 25 10 7 103:54 85
3 Real Bedford 42 24 9 9 84:47 81
4 Kettering 42 21 9 12 74:52 72
5 Halesowen 42 20 10 12 85:60 70
6 Needham Market 42 20 10 12 64:53 70
7 Redditch 42 21 7 14 67:58 70
8 Quorn 42 19 8 15 78:71 65
9 Worcester 42 17 12 13 64:44 63
10 Leiston 42 16 15 11 65:58 63
11 Stratford 42 17 10 15 61:54 61
12 Banbury 42 17 9 16 51:56 60
13 Bury Town 42 15 13 14 61:53 58
14 Alvechurch 42 14 8 20 49:55 50
15 Stourbridge 42 12 14 16 58:68 50
16 Stortford 42 13 10 19 53:67 49
17 Stamford 42 13 8 21 41:64 47
18 Bromsgrove 42 12 8 22 52:73 44
19 St Ives Town 42 9 12 21 50:73 39
20 Barwell 42 9 8 25 52:85 35
21 Royston Town 42 5 10 27 35:82 25
22 Sudbury 42 6 7 29 47:115 25
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)