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Bury U18 vs Aston Villa U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Youth Cup 2017/2018
Bury U18 Logo

Bury U18

1 - 0
FT
Aston Villa U18 Logo

Aston Villa U18

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bury U18 in this FA Youth Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bury U18
15%
Draws
37%
Aston Villa U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bury U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Aston Villa U18 have won more games recently than Bury U18.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Aston Villa U18 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bury U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Bury U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa U18 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bury U18 Aston Villa U18
Matches Played 5 33
Wins 3 17
Draws 0 5
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.2 2.7
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2018 FA Youth Cup
Bury U18 vs Aston Villa U18
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bury U18 30 / 100
Aston Villa U18 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bury U18 Aston Villa U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aston Villa U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bury U18 scored in 100% of their last 5 outings.

Aston Villa U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

Solid form: Bury U18 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aston Villa U18
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bury U18

(Home)
06 Mar
Bury U18
1 : 5
Liverpool U18
08 Feb
Preston U18
0 : 2
Bury U18
17 Jan
Peterborough U18
0 : 1
Bury U18
16 Feb
Bury U18
1 : 3
Birmingham U18
22 Jan
Bury U18
1 : 0
Aston Villa U18

Aston Villa U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Aston Villa U18
2 : 4
Brighton U18
12 Sept
West Brom U18
2 : 0
Aston Villa U18
05 Sept
Brentford U18
0 : 5
Aston Villa U18
29 Aug
Aston Villa U18
1 : 0
Crystal Palace U18
22 Aug
Fulham U18
5 : 5
Aston Villa U18
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Norwich U18 4
Derby U18 2
Crystal Palace U18 2
Newcastle Utd U18 3
Bury U18 1
Aston Villa U18 0
Birmingham U18 1
Sheffield Utd U18 0
Burnley U18 0
Plymouth U18 1
Swansea U18 0
Fulham U18 2
Bournemouth U18 0
Tottenham U18 3
Chelsea U18 7
West Brom U18 0
Blackburn U18 2
Watford U18 0
Nottingham U18 2
Leicester U18 1
Ipswich U18 2
Dagenham & Red. U18 1
Blackpool U18 2
Southampton U18 1
Colchester U18 2
Milton Keynes Dons U18 0
Charlton U18 3
Reading U18 4
Stevenage U18 1
Middlesbrough U18 2
Liverpool U18 2
Arsenal U18 3
1/8-finals
Norwich U18 4
Newcastle Utd U18 3
Bury U18 1
Birmingham U18 3
Plymouth U18 1
Fulham U18 3
Tottenham U18 0
Chelsea U18 2
Blackburn U18 5
Nottingham U18 1
Ipswich U18 0
Blackpool U18 2
Colchester U18 3
Reading U18 0
Middlesbrough U18 2
Arsenal U18 3
Quarter-finals
Norwich U18 1
Birmingham U18 3
Fulham U18 0
Chelsea U18 6
Blackburn U18 2
Blackpool U18 3
Colchester U18 1
Arsenal U18 5
Semi-finals
Birmingham U18 0
Chelsea U18 7
Blackpool U18 2
Arsenal U18 7
Final
Chelsea U18 7
Arsenal U18 1