Sport Picks

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Busaiteen vs Al-Najma

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Mahdi H.
55' Event
Own Goal
69' Event

AI Match Summary

Al-Najma in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Najma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Busaiteen
15%
Draws
85%
Al-Najma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al-Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al-Najma lately — more wins on the board than Busaiteen.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Al-Najma taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Busaiteen Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busaiteen Al-Najma
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Premier League
Busaiteen vs Al-Najma
2:3
Dec 1, 2023 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Busaiteen
0:1
Mar 20, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Busaiteen vs Al-Najma
3:1
Sep 24, 2021 King's Cup
Al-Najma vs Busaiteen
3:0
Apr 23, 2021 Premier League
Busaiteen vs Al-Najma
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busaiteen Compare

Top Goalscorer Diawara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahdi H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Juninho Piauiense
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busaiteen 10 / 100
Al-Najma 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busaiteen Al-Najma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Najma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Najma let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Busaiteen scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Al-Najma registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al-Najma
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Busaiteen

(Home)
24 Jan
Busaiteen
0 : 4
Bahrain SC
19 May
Al-Shabbab
3 : 2
Busaiteen
15 May
Busaiteen
1 : 3
Al Riffa
09 May
Al-Hidd
2 : 1
Busaiteen
04 May
Busaiteen
2 : 3
Al-Najma
Page 1 of 6

Al-Najma

(Away)
11 Sept
Al-Najma
2 : 3
East Riffa
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1
Al-Najma
27 Aug
Al-Najma
2 : 7
Al Khalidiyah
30 May
Al-Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Khalidiyah 22 12 8 2 45:18 44
2 Al Riffa 22 10 7 5 35:26 37
3 Al-Muharraq 22 9 10 3 40:28 37
4 Al-Ahli 22 9 6 7 32:30 33
5 Manama Club 22 9 6 7 28:26 33
6 Al-Najma 22 7 6 9 40:42 27
7 Al-Shabbab 22 7 6 9 28:33 27
8 Sitra 22 5 11 6 29:33 26
9 Al-Hidd 22 6 8 8 29:33 26
10 East Riffa 22 6 8 8 27:29 26
11 Al-Hala 22 6 2 14 17:41 20
12 Busaiteen 22 4 6 12 26:37 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2023/2024 (Relegation)