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Busaiteen vs Bahrain SC

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Joel Vinicius
27' Event
Joel Vinicius
89' Event
Sultan S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Bahrain SC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Busaiteen
15%
Draws
85%
Bahrain SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahrain SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Bahrain SC haven't matched Busaiteen's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Busaiteen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahrain SC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Busaiteen Clean Sheet 68%
Bahrain SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busaiteen Bahrain SC
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2025 King's Cup
Busaiteen vs Bahrain SC
0:4
Oct 14, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Bahrain SC vs Busaiteen
1:3
Oct 26, 2020 Premier League
Bahrain SC vs Busaiteen
1:0
Oct 22, 2020 Premier League
Busaiteen vs Bahrain SC
4:1
Sep 2, 2019 Bahrain Cup
Busaiteen vs Bahrain SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busaiteen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Bahrain SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joel Vinicius
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sultan S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busaiteen 41 / 100
Bahrain SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busaiteen Bahrain SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Busaiteen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahrain SC has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Bahrain SC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Busaiteen's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bahrain SC
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Busaiteen

(Home)
24 Jan
Busaiteen
0 : 4
Bahrain SC
19 May
Al-Shabbab
3 : 2
Busaiteen
15 May
Busaiteen
1 : 3
Al Riffa
09 May
Al-Hidd
2 : 1
Busaiteen
04 May
Busaiteen
2 : 3
Al-Najma
Page 1 of 6

Bahrain SC

(Away)
15 May
Al Riffa
3 : 2
Bahrain SC
10 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 3
Al-Najma
03 May
Bahrain SC
0 : 4
Malkia
28 Apr
Al-Shabbab
1 : 0
Bahrain SC
17 Apr
Bahrain SC
1 : 2
Al-Ahli
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Busaiteen 0
Bahrain SC 4
TBD -
Al Riffa -
East Riffa 2
Ali CSC 0
TBD -
Manama Club -
Tadamun Buri 0
Bouri 1
TBD -
Sitra -
Al-Ittifaq 1
Isa Town 0
TBD -
Al-Ahli -
Umm Al Hassam 0
Al Reef 1
TBD -
Al Khalidiyah -
Al-Hala 3
Qalali 0
TBD -
Al-Najma -
Al-Hidd 2
Malkia 1
TBD -
Al-Shabbab -
Al-Ittihad 2
Al-Budaiya 3
TBD -
Al-Muharraq -
1/8-finals
Bahrain SC 0
Al Riffa 2
East Riffa 1
Manama Club 0
Bouri 0
Sitra 1
Al-Ittifaq 1
Al-Ahli 2
Al Reef 1
Al Khalidiyah 6
Al-Hala 3
Al-Najma 1
Al-Hidd 1
Al-Shabbab 2
Al-Budaiya 2
Al-Muharraq 4
Quarter-finals
Al Riffa 3
East Riffa 2
Sitra 2
Al-Ahli 1
Al Khalidiyah 6
Al-Hala 2
Al-Shabbab 1
Al-Muharraq 2
Semi-finals
Al Riffa 1
Sitra 2
Al Khalidiyah 2
Al-Muharraq 0
Final
Sitra 2
Al Khalidiyah 3