Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Busan Kyotong vs Chuncheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kim Jun-Seob
28' Event
Jo H.
45' Event
Lee J.

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Busan Kyotong and Chuncheon finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chuncheon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Busan Kyotong
15%
Draws
54%
Chuncheon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chuncheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Busan Kyotong carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 17%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Kyotong Chuncheon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Chuncheon
2:3
Nov 2, 2025 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Busan Kyotong
0:3
Jun 21, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Chuncheon
0:1
Jun 28, 2024 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Busan Kyotong
2:2
Mar 3, 2024 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Chuncheon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Kyotong Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Jun-Seob
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jo H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Chuncheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Oliveira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan Kyotong 31 / 100
Chuncheon 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Kyotong Chuncheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chuncheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan Kyotong found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Chuncheon conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Busan Kyotong went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Busan Kyotong VS Chuncheon
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan Kyotong

(Home)
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
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Chuncheon

(Away)
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
26 Jul
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)