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Busan Kyotong vs Pocheon Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K3-K4 League Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Busan Kyotong
20%
Draws
40%
Pocheon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Busan Kyotong haven't matched Pocheon's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Pocheon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Busan Kyotong, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 13%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Kyotong Pocheon
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.71 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 K3-K4 League Cup
Busan Kyotong vs Pocheon
1:0
Jun 6, 2026 K3 League
Pocheon vs Busan Kyotong
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Pocheon
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Busan Kyotong
3:1
Apr 26, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Pocheon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan Kyotong 31 / 100
Pocheon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Kyotong Pocheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan Kyotong found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Busan Kyotong has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pocheon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Busan Kyotong VS Pocheon
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan Kyotong

(Home)
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
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Pocheon

(Away)
03 Oct
Pocheon
0 : 0
Chuncheon
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2
Pocheon
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Yeoju Citizen 0
Busan Kyotong 2
Siheung Citizen 0
Ulsan Citizen 1
Chuncheon 1
Geoje 2
Gyeongju KHNP 2
Pocheon 5
Semi-finals
Busan Kyotong 1
Ulsan Citizen 0
Geoje 1
Pocheon 2
Final
Busan Kyotong 1
Pocheon 0