Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Busan vs Cheonan City

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Sub
Eo Eun-Gyul In: Gustavo Sarjani
Out: Eo Eun-Gyul
20' Event
Kim Hyun-Min
59'
Park Chang-Woo

AI Match Summary

Busan in this K League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Busan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Busan
30%
Draws
23%
Cheonan City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Busan lately — more wins on the board than Cheonan City.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Busan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Busan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Busan Clean Sheet 68%
Cheonan City Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Cheonan City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 11
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.62 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Cheonan City
1:0
Oct 8, 2025 K League 2
Cheonan City vs Busan
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 K League 2
Cheonan City vs Busan
0:1
Mar 16, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Cheonan City
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 K League 2
Cheonan City vs Busan
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Hyun-Min
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cheonan City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan 59 / 100
Cheonan City 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Cheonan City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Busan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheonan City let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Busan's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Cheonan City has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Busan VS Cheonan City
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan

(Home)
19 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Busan
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Busan
0 : 1
Ansan Greeners
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
22 Aug
Daegu
1 : 1
Busan
Page 1 of 6

Cheonan City

(Away)
19 Sept
Chungnam Asan
3 : 1
Cheonan City
13 Sept
Suwon FC
1 : 1
Cheonan City
05 Sept
Cheonan City
1 : 1
Hwaseong
28 Aug
Jeonnam
1 : 0
Cheonan City
22 Aug
Cheonan City
0 : 1
Suwon Bluewings
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 26 12 8 6 41:27 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Seongnam 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Cheongju 26 5 14 7 31:41 29
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)