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Busan vs Gimhae - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Jang Ho-Ik
29'
Yeo J.
33' Event
Baek Ga-On
Assist: Son Hwi

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Busan and Gimhae finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Busan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Busan
20%
Draws
16%
Gimhae
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Busan come out ahead of Gimhae on wins alone.
  • Model gives Busan a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Busan have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Busan Clean Sheet 20%
Gimhae Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Gimhae
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.62 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Gimhae
2:0
May 3, 2026 K League 2
Gimhae vs Busan
0:1
May 8, 2013 Korean Cup
Gimhae vs Busan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Baek Ga-On
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Gimhae Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan 76 / 100
Gimhae 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Gimhae

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Busan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gimhae has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Busan scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Gimhae registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Busan VS Gimhae
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan

(Home)
19 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Busan
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Busan
0 : 1
Ansan Greeners
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
22 Aug
Daegu
1 : 1
Busan
Page 1 of 6

Gimhae

(Away)
20 Sept
Gimhae
0 : 2
Paju Frontier
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Gimhae
2 : 2
Jeonnam
30 Aug
Gimhae
0 : 3
Yongin FC
22 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 0
Gimhae
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 26 12 8 6 41:27 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Seongnam 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Cheongju 26 5 14 7 31:41 29
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)