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Busan vs Paju Frontier

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Busan Gudeok Stadium, Busan
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Kim Min-seung
45' Event
Gabriel Honorio
Assist: Kim Hyun-Min
46'
Sub
Kim Min-Sung In: Lee Taek-Geun
Out: Kim Min-Sung

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Busan and Paju Frontier finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Busan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Busan
30%
Draws
39%
Paju Frontier
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paju Frontier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Paju Frontier haven't matched Busan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Busan a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Busan Clean Sheet 20%
Paju Frontier Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busan Paju Frontier
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.6 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Paju Frontier
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Honorio
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Se-Hoon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Paju Frontier Compare

Top Goalscorer You Jae-jun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan 36 / 100
Paju Frontier 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busan Paju Frontier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Paju Frontier conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Busan stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Busan VS Paju Frontier
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Busan

(Home)
19 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Busan
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Busan
0 : 1
Ansan Greeners
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
22 Aug
Daegu
1 : 1
Busan
Page 1 of 6

Paju Frontier

(Away)
04 Sept
Paju Frontier
0 : 0
Daegu
29 Aug
Gyeongnam
1 : 0
Paju Frontier
23 Aug
Seoul E-Land
1 : 1
Paju Frontier
16 Aug
Paju Frontier
2 : 1
Seongnam
08 Aug
Paju Frontier
0 : 1
Suwon FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 25 12 7 6 39:25 43
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 24 8 9 7 31:30 33
10 Seongnam 24 7 9 8 26:28 30
11 Yongin FC 24 5 11 8 31:35 26
12 Cheongju 25 4 14 7 28:39 26
13 Paju Frontier 24 7 5 12 22:28 26
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 25 6 4 15 25:46 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 24 2 7 15 19:47 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)