Sport Picks

South Korea

K League 2 Busan Gudeok Stadium

Busan

4 - 1

Paju Frontier

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Kim Min-seung

45'

Gabriel Honorio

Assist: Kim Hyun-Min

46'

Sub

Kim Min-Sung In: Lee Taek-Geun

Out: Kim Min-Sung

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Busan and Paju Frontier finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Busan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Busan

Draws

Paju Frontier

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Paju Frontier haven't matched Busan's recent run of results.
Model gives Busan a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Busan Clean Sheet 68%

Paju Frontier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Busan	Paju Frontier
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	14	11
Draws	8	5
Losses	6	12
Goals Scored	2.13	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 K League 2

Busan vs Paju Frontier

Possession: 56% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Honorio

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kim Se-Hoon

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Paju Frontier Compare

Top Goalscorer You Jae-jun

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busan 95 / 100

Paju Frontier 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Busan Paju Frontier

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busan scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Paju Frontier conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Busan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Busan VS Paju Frontier

2.13 Goals Scored 0.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 25%

63% Over 2.5 25%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Busan	16	11	3	2	35:20	36
2	Suwon Bluewings	16	10	2	4	22:14	32
3	Daegu	16	9	4	3	35:22	31
4	Suwon FC	16	8	5	3	34:21	29
5	Seoul E-Land	16	9	2	5	28:19	29
6	Hwaseong	16	7	4	5	23:19	25
7	Chungnam Asan	16	6	6	4	24:19	24
8	Gimpo FC	16	6	6	4	19:18	24
9	Gyeongnam	16	5	5	6	20:25	20
10	Cheonan City	16	4	7	5	19:19	19
11	Yongin FC	16	3	8	5	20:23	17
12	Paju Frontier	16	5	2	9	17:22	17
13	Seongnam	16	3	8	5	16:18	17
14	Cheongju	16	1	11	4	19:27	14
15	Ansan Greeners	16	4	2	10	17:29	14
16	Jeonnam	16	1	6	9	18:31	9
17	Gimhae	16	2	3	11	13:33	9