Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Busko-Zdroj vs Hetman Zamosc

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Busko-Zdroj host Hetman Zamosc in the III Liga - Group IV. This has Busko-Zdroj written all over it on paper. Hetman Zamosc have shipped 2.62 goals a game lately, while Busko-Zdroj have conceded 2.15 and scored 1.65. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Busko-Zdroj to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Busko-Zdroj
20%
Draws
38%
Hetman Zamosc
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Busko-Zdroj

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Busko-Zdroj haven't matched Hetman Zamosc's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Busko-Zdroj Clean Sheet 20%
Hetman Zamosc Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Busko-Zdroj Hetman Zamosc
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.65 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.15 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Busko-Zdroj 31 / 100
Hetman Zamosc 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Busko-Zdroj Hetman Zamosc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Busko-Zdroj Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Busko-Zdroj found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (20 games).

Hetman Zamosc's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Busko-Zdroj has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Hetman Zamosc registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Busko-Zdroj VS Hetman Zamosc
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Busko-Zdroj

(Home)
04 Oct
Busko-Zdroj
3 : 0
Wisla II
26 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
19 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
06 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
Page 1 of 4

Hetman Zamosc

(Away)
04 Oct
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2
Chelmianka Chelm
27 Sept
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
19 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
3 : 3
Wisla II
12 Sept
Naprzod Jedrzejow
4 : 2
Hetman Zamosc
05 Sept
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 1
Moravia Morawica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 11 8 3 0 18:5 27
2 Wisloka Debica 11 7 1 3 16:13 22
3 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
4 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 11 5 5 1 16:9 20
5 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
6 Wislanie Skawina 11 5 2 4 15:11 17
7 Jaroslaw 11 5 2 4 27:20 17
8 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 11 4 2 5 14:15 14
9 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
10 Busko-Zdroj 11 4 2 5 17:21 14
11 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
12 Wisla II 11 3 4 4 13:16 13
13 Biala Podlaska 11 3 3 5 10:13 12
14 Korona Kielce II 11 3 2 6 23:27 11
15 Star Starachowice 11 2 5 4 13:17 11
16 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 11 3 2 6 10:14 11
17 Moravia Morawica 11 2 2 7 13:22 8
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 11 2 1 8 11:21 7
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)