Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bustelo vs FC Cesarense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016
Bustelo Logo

Bustelo

0 - 0
FT
FC Cesarense Logo

FC Cesarense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 game between Bustelo and FC Cesarense finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Bustelo
20%
Draws
36%
FC Cesarense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bustelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Bustelo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bustelo a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Bustelo Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bustelo FC Cesarense
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 4
Draws 6 14
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
FC Cesarense vs Bustelo
2:1
Feb 14, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs FC Cesarense
0:0
Jan 23, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
FC Cesarense vs Bustelo
2:0
Nov 8, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs FC Cesarense
1:1
Dec 22, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
FC Cesarense vs Bustelo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bustelo 77 / 100
FC Cesarense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bustelo FC Cesarense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bustelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cesarense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Bustelo scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Bustelo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bustelo VS FC Cesarense
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bustelo

(Home)
29 Sept
Beira Mar
2 : 0
Bustelo
07 Sept
Manteigas
1 : 3
Bustelo
15 May
Bustelo
1 : 0
Gafanha
08 May
Sanjoanense
2 : 0
Bustelo
30 Apr
Bustelo
2 : 3
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6

FC Cesarense

(Away)
12 May
FC Cesarense
0 : 0
Amarante FC
05 May
Cinfaes
0 : 2
FC Cesarense
28 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 4
SC Espinho
20 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 2
FC Cesarense
14 Apr
FC Cesarense
0 : 4
Lusitano FCV
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanjoanense 14 9 4 1 27:11 46
2 FC Cesarense 14 8 3 3 20:14 38
3 Lusitano FCV 14 5 4 5 16:10 34
4 Mortagua FC 14 6 1 7 13:16 29
5 Gafanha 14 5 4 5 14:17 27
6 Lusitania FC 14 4 5 5 13:16 27
7 Oliveira de Frades 14 3 3 8 15:22 22
8 Bustelo 14 3 2 9 10:22 18
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)