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Bustelo vs Grijo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014
Bustelo Logo

Bustelo

0 - 2
FT
Grijo Logo

Grijo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 game between Bustelo and Grijo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grijo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bustelo
15%
Draws
28%
Grijo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bustelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Grijo's 1.4 goals per match outpaces what Bustelo have produced (1).
  • Bustelo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group D 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Grijo have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bustelo Clean Sheet 18%
Grijo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bustelo Grijo
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 7 11
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs Grijo
0:2
Mar 16, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs Bustelo
3:1
Dec 15, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs Grijo
2:3
Sep 28, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Grijo vs Bustelo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bustelo 67 / 100
Grijo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bustelo Grijo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bustelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grijo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Grijo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Bustelo found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Bustelo VS Grijo
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Bustelo

(Home)
29 Sept
Beira Mar
2 : 0
Bustelo
07 Sept
Manteigas
1 : 3
Bustelo
15 May
Bustelo
1 : 0
Gafanha
08 May
Sanjoanense
2 : 0
Bustelo
30 Apr
Bustelo
2 : 3
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 7

Grijo

(Away)
21 Aug
Rebordosa
3 : 1
Grijo
24 May
SC Lusitania
2 : 1
Grijo
11 May
Grijo
1 : 2
Lusitano FCV
04 May
Bustelo
0 : 2
Grijo
27 Apr
Grijo
0 : 1
Estarreja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cinfaes 14 8 2 4 19:11 38
2 Anadia 14 6 4 4 17:14 35
3 Lusitano FCV 14 7 3 4 16:11 34
4 SC Lusitania 14 5 4 5 11:10 31
5 SC Espinho 14 5 4 5 18:17 28
6 Estarreja 14 6 2 6 12:19 28
7 Grijo 14 4 3 7 19:23 26
8 Bustelo 14 2 4 8 10:17 23
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 (Play Out)