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Bustelo vs Lusitano FCV

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016
Bustelo Logo

Bustelo

0 - 0
FT
Lusitano FCV Logo

Lusitano FCV

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bustelo
15%
Draws
0%
Lusitano FCV
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bustelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bustelo haven't matched Lusitano FCV's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Bustelo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Bustelo Clean Sheet 68%
Lusitano FCV Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bustelo Lusitano FCV
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano FCV vs Bustelo
3:0
Feb 28, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs Lusitano FCV
0:0
Nov 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs Lusitano FCV
3:1
Aug 23, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano FCV vs Bustelo
4:0
Apr 27, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano FCV vs Bustelo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bustelo 95 / 100
Lusitano FCV 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bustelo Lusitano FCV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bustelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitano FCV's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Lusitano FCV let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Bustelo scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lusitano FCV
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bustelo

(Home)
29 Sept
Beira Mar
2 : 0
Bustelo
07 Sept
Manteigas
1 : 3
Bustelo
15 May
Bustelo
1 : 0
Gafanha
08 May
Sanjoanense
2 : 0
Bustelo
30 Apr
Bustelo
2 : 3
Lusitania FC
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Lusitano FCV

(Away)
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2
Tocha
11 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 3
Sanjoanense
10 Apr
SC Espinho
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
03 Apr
Lusitano FCV
0 : 3
Castro Daire
14 Mar
Beira Mar
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanjoanense 14 9 4 1 27:11 46
2 FC Cesarense 14 8 3 3 20:14 38
3 Lusitano FCV 14 5 4 5 16:10 34
4 Mortagua FC 14 6 1 7 13:16 29
5 Gafanha 14 5 4 5 14:17 27
6 Lusitania FC 14 4 5 5 13:16 27
7 Oliveira de Frades 14 3 3 8 15:22 22
8 Bustelo 14 3 2 9 10:22 18
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)