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Bustese Milano City vs Castellanzese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bustese Milano City play Castellanzese in the Serie D - Group B 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bustese Milano City averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Castellanzese averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Bustese Milano City won 0, Castellanzese won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 19, 2020 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Bustese Milano City and 1.05 for Castellanzese. This points to a Castellanzese double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bustese Milano City
28%
Draws
22%
Castellanzese
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bustese Milano City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Castellanzese has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bustese Milano City.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Bustese Milano City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group B 2019/2020 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Bustese Milano City Clean Sheet 20%
Castellanzese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bustese Milano City Castellanzese
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Bustese Milano City vs Castellanzese
1:1
Sep 14, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Castellanzese vs Bustese Milano City
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bustese Milano City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mammetti G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Castellanzese Compare

Top Goalscorer Chessa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bustese Milano City 49 / 100
Castellanzese 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bustese Milano City Castellanzese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bustese Milano City scored in 68% of their last 19 games.

Castellanzese let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bustese Milano City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Castellanzese lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castellanzese
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%