Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Butrinti Sarande vs Dinamo Tirana

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Diogo Maranhao

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tirana in this Albanian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Butrinti Sarande
6%
Draws
90%
Dinamo Tirana
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dinamo Tirana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dinamo Tirana have won more games recently than Butrinti Sarande.
  • Win probability leans Dinamo Tirana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Dinamo Tirana arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dinamo Tirana, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Butrinti Sarande Clean Sheet 14%
Dinamo Tirana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Butrinti Sarande Dinamo Tirana
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2022 Albanian Cup
Dinamo Tirana vs Butrinti Sarande
3:0
Sep 28, 2022 Albanian Cup
Butrinti Sarande vs Dinamo Tirana
0:1
Apr 30, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Dinamo Tirana vs Butrinti Sarande
1:0
Feb 13, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Dinamo Tirana
1:0
Oct 18, 2015 Kategoria e Parë
Dinamo Tirana vs Butrinti Sarande
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Butrinti Sarande Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Dinamo Tirana Compare

Top Goalscorer Diogo Maranhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Butrinti Sarande 10 / 100
Dinamo Tirana 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Butrinti Sarande Dinamo Tirana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Butrinti Sarande scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Dinamo Tirana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Dinamo Tirana lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Butrinti Sarande VS Dinamo Tirana
0 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Butrinti Sarande

(Home)
28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
15 Oct
Lushnja
2 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
16 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
18 Oct
Luzi
3 : 2
Butrinti Sarande
11 Oct
Dinamo Tirana
3 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
Page 1 of 6

Dinamo Tirana

(Away)
23 Jul
Aluminij
1 : 1
Dinamo Tirana
16 Jul
FC Astana
1 : 4
Dinamo Tirana
09 Jul
Dinamo Tirana
0 : 1
FC Astana
01 Jul
Struga
1 : 1
Dinamo Tirana
27 Jun
Struga
2 : 3
Dinamo Tirana
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Pogradeci-
TBD-
TBD-
Bylis-
Flamurtari-
TBD-
TBD-
Vllaznia-
Besa Kavaje-
TBD-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi-
KF Oriku-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizani-
Maliqi-
TBD-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca-
Shkumbini Peqin-
TBD-
TBD-
KF Egnatia-
Burreli-
TBD-
TBD-
Tomori Berat-
KS Devolli5
Librazhd1
TBD-
Laci-
Butrinti Sarande-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana-
Vora-
TBD-
TBD-
Kastrioti-
Lushnja-
TBD-
TBD-
Terbuni Puka-
Koplik3
Murlani0
TBD-
KF Tirana-
Turbina Cerrik-
TBD-
TBD-
Erzeni Shijak-
Luzi-
TBD-
TBD-
Teuta-
Beselidhja Lezha-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier-
Laberia FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Kukesi-
1/16-finals
Pogradeci1
Bylis10
Flamurtari2
Vllaznia4
Besa Kavaje1
Korabi Peshkopi4
KF Oriku0
Partizani2
Maliqi1
Skenderbeu Korca8
Shkumbini Peqin0
KF Egnatia6
Burreli2
Tomori Berat5
KS Devolli0
Laci7
Butrinti Sarande0
Dinamo Tirana4
Vora0
Kastrioti1
Lushnja4
Terbuni Puka3
Koplik2
KF Tirana5
Turbina Cerrik1
Erzeni Shijak6
Luzi0
Teuta2
Beselidhja Lezha1
Apolonia Fier2
Laberia FC0
Kukesi5
1/8-finals
Bylis1
Vllaznia3
Korabi Peshkopi1
Partizani6
Skenderbeu Korca1
KF Egnatia2
Tomori Berat2
Laci5
Dinamo Tirana1
Kastrioti3
Lushnja0
KF Tirana4
Erzeni Shijak1
Teuta2
Apolonia Fier0
Kukesi5
Quarter-finals
Vllaznia3
Partizani2
KF Egnatia3
Laci0
Kastrioti3
KF Tirana6
Teuta3
Kukesi2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia1
KF Egnatia2
KF Tirana3
Teuta0
Final
KF Egnatia1
KF Tirana0