Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Butrinti Sarande vs Tomori Berat

Albania Albania

First Division 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Manellari I.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Gjonaj S.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Spahiu R.

AI Match Summary

Tomori Berat in this First Division 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tomori Berat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Butrinti Sarande
15%
Draws
85%
Tomori Berat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tomori Berat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Tomori Berat have won more games recently than Butrinti Sarande.
  • Butrinti Sarande are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Butrinti Sarande Clean Sheet 14%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Butrinti Sarande Tomori Berat
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 26
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Tomori Berat
1:2
Nov 24, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Butrinti Sarande
0:0
Apr 11, 2015 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Butrinti Sarande
0:2
Dec 17, 2014 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Butrinti Sarande
2:0
Oct 4, 2014 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Tomori Berat
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Butrinti Sarande Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Tomori Berat Compare

Top Goalscorer Spahiu R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Butrinti Sarande 84 / 100
Tomori Berat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Butrinti Sarande Tomori Berat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Butrinti Sarande Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomori Berat has conceded goals in 88% of their last 40 outings.

Attacking prowess: Butrinti Sarande scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Tomori Berat lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Butrinti Sarande VS Tomori Berat
0.67 Goals Scored 0.88
2.33 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Butrinti Sarande

(Home)
28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
15 Oct
Lushnja
2 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
16 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1
Butrinti Sarande
18 Oct
Luzi
3 : 2
Butrinti Sarande
11 Oct
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Butrinti Sarande
Page 1 of 6

Tomori Berat

(Away)
18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0
Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2
Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2
Lushnja
04 May
AF Elbasani
5 : 0
Tomori Berat
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bylis 30 22 3 5 51:18 69
2 Erzeni Shijak 30 21 4 5 57:18 67
3 Korabi Peshkopi 30 17 8 5 35:22 59
4 Apolonia Fier 30 16 3 11 44:25 51
5 Terbuni Puka 30 12 11 7 21:16 47
6 Tomori Berat 30 12 8 10 45:31 44
7 Lushnja 30 10 12 8 31:27 42
8 Burreli 30 10 11 9 30:24 41
9 Besa Kavaje 30 12 4 14 36:40 40
10 Beselidhja Lezha 30 12 3 15 45:54 39
11 Pogradeci 30 10 8 12 32:37 38
12 Turbina Cerrik 30 11 4 15 31:44 37
13 Butrinti Sarande 30 9 7 14 32:36 34
14 Maliqi 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
15 Vora 30 5 6 19 32:54 21
16 Shkumbini Peqin 30 5 3 22 30:76 18
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2021/2022 (Relegation)