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BuxDu vs Shortan Guzor

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Wed, Aug 5, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BuxDu host Shortan Guzor in the Pro Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Shortan Guzor have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while BuxDu have conceded 1.75 and scored 1. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.00 - 1.63) back Shortan Guzor to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
BuxDu
28%
Draws
22%
Shortan Guzor
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: BuxDu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shortan Guzor come out ahead of BuxDu on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans BuxDu's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
BuxDu Clean Sheet 14%
Shortan Guzor Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BuxDu Shortan Guzor
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 3 9
Draws 1 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BuxDu 48 / 100
Shortan Guzor 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BuxDu Shortan Guzor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUX Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Shortan Guzor conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: BuxDu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

BuxDu found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (11 games).

Away concern: Shortan Guzor has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BuxDu VS Shortan Guzor
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BuxDu

(Home)
24 Jul
BuxDu
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
10 Jun
BuxDu
2 : 0
TerDU
05 Jun
BuxDu
2 : 1
Yaypan
31 May
FC Lochin
4 : 0
BuxDu
06 May
BuxDu
1 : 1
FarDU
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Shortan Guzor

(Away)
24 Jul
Aral
3 : 1
Shortan Guzor
10 Jun
Shortan Guzor
0 : 2
Gazalkent
04 Jun
Shortan Guzor
1 : 0
Metallurg Bekabad
30 May
Jayxun
1 : 2
Shortan Guzor
05 May
Shortan Guzor
2 : 0
Pakhtakor II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aral1192027:829
2Shortan Guzor1172216:1123
3FC Lochin1163220:921
4Kattaqurgon1163213:721
5Gazalkent1153317:1418
6Metallurg Bekabad1153325:1118
7FarDU1144315:2016
8Olimpik-Mobiuz1143421:1315
9Yaypan1141614:2213
10Respublika FA1133513:1212
11Jayxun113269:1711
12BuxDu113179:2110
13Pakhtakor II111196:254
14TerDU111198:234
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Pro Liga (Promotion)