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Stadium Background

Buxoro vs Bunyodkor

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Buxoro FA Stadioni, Bukhara
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Ruziev J.
45' Event
Joraboev A.
54'
Khayrullaev R.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Buxoro and Bunyodkor finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Buxoro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Buxoro
15%
Draws
0%
Bunyodkor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buxoro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bunyodkor haven't matched Buxoro's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Buxoro taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 68%
Bunyodkor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buxoro Bunyodkor
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.24 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Super League
Buxoro vs Bunyodkor
1:0
Aug 27, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Bunyodkor vs Buxoro
2:4
Aug 17, 2025 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Buxoro
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Bunyodkor
0:2
Aug 27, 2023 Super League
Bunyodkor vs Buxoro
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buxoro Compare

Top Goalscorer Joraboev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Bunyodkor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxoro 95 / 100
Bunyodkor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buxoro Bunyodkor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buxoro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buxoro's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bunyodkor's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Bunyodkor has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Buxoro VS Bunyodkor
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Buxoro

(Home)
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4
Navbahor Namangan
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Buxoro
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
13 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 0
OKMK
Page 1 of 6

Bunyodkor

(Away)
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0
Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Termez Surkhon
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
20 Aug
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Kokand 1912
14 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
4 : 3
Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 21 15 3 3 49:17 48
2 Pakhtakor 21 13 7 1 37:19 46
3 Navbahor Namangan 21 12 5 4 36:19 41
4 Lok. Tashkent 21 10 5 6 36:27 35
5 Buxoro 21 10 4 7 31:27 34
6 OKMK 21 9 5 7 29:28 32
7 Nasaf Qarshi 21 8 7 6 29:20 31
8 Andijan 21 9 3 9 26:24 30
9 Din. Samarkand 21 8 6 7 31:31 30
10 Sogdiana 21 8 4 9 37:41 28
11 Qizilqum 21 8 2 11 20:29 26
12 Termez Surkhon 21 6 5 10 18:28 23
13 Xorazm Urganch 21 5 6 10 17:29 21
14 Kokand 1912 21 4 8 9 19:29 20
15 Bunyodkor 21 6 1 14 20:35 19
16 Mashal Muborak 21 1 1 19 10:42 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)