Sport Picks

Uzbekistan

Super League 2025 Buxoro Arena

Buxoro

0 - 1

Termez Surkhon

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Pulatov I.

15'

Turdimurodov R.

Assist: Abdukhamidov S.

22'

Nematkhonov N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Termez Surkhon in this Super League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Termez Surkhon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Buxoro

17%

Draws

13%

Termez Surkhon

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Buxoro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Buxoro average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Termez Surkhon's 1.13.
Win probability leans Buxoro's way, sitting at 70%.
Regular Super League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Buxoro Clean Sheet 68%

Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Buxoro	Termez Surkhon
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	11	11
Draws	7	5
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Super League

Termez Surkhon vs Buxoro

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 4 - 2

3:1

Nov 30, 2025 Super League

Buxoro vs Termez Surkhon

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Jul 4, 2025 Super League

Termez Surkhon vs Buxoro

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Aug 20, 2023 Super League

Buxoro vs Termez Surkhon

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Mar 31, 2023 Super League

Termez Surkhon vs Buxoro

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buxoro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Termez Surkhon Compare

Top Goalscorer Turdimurodov R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxoro 77 / 100

Termez Surkhon 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Buxoro Termez Surkhon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUX Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buxoro found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Termez Surkhon conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Buxoro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buxoro VS Termez Surkhon

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi Fargona	30	19	7	4	49:24	64
2	Pakhtakor	30	18	6	6	59:23	60
3	Nasaf Qarshi	30	16	11	3	51:23	59
4	Din. Samarkand	30	16	10	4	47:30	58
5	Bunyodkor	30	13	10	7	48:40	49
6	OKMK	30	14	6	10	44:34	48
7	Navbahor Namangan	30	10	10	10	41:37	40
8	Sogdiana	30	10	7	13	37:37	37
9	Qizilqum	30	9	9	12	28:44	36
10	Termez Surkhon	30	9	8	13	26:30	35
11	Andijan	30	9	8	13	39:51	35
12	Kokand 1912	30	9	7	14	24:39	34
13	Mashal Muborak	30	8	6	16	22:48	30
14	Buxoro	30	6	9	15	30:49	27
15	Xorazm Urganch	30	7	6	17	33:39	27
16	Shortan Guzor	30	3	8	19	27:57	17