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Buxton vs Worksop - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buxton host Worksop in the National League North. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Buxton at 1.9 goals for, 1.24 against; Worksop at 1.93 for, 1.41 against. Head-to-head, Buxton have won 2 to Worksop's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.69 - 1.63) back Buxton to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Buxton
15%
Draws
37%
Worksop
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buxton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Worksop haven't matched Buxton's recent run of results.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Buxton taking it.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Buxton Clean Sheet 14%
Worksop Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buxton Worksop
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 16
Draws 2 2
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 National League North
Worksop vs Buxton
1:2
Dec 30, 2025 National League North
Buxton vs Worksop
3:1
Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Worksop vs Buxton
0:0
Feb 19, 2014 NPL Premier Division
Worksop vs Buxton
3:1
Sep 25, 2013 NPL Premier Division
Buxton vs Worksop
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buxton 48 / 100
Worksop 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buxton Worksop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buxton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Buxton scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Worksop's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Buxton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buxton VS Worksop
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Buxton

(Home)
03 Oct
Buxton
0 : 2
South Shields
26 Sept
South Shields
4 : 0
Buxton
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0
Ashton United
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Buxton
5 : 0
Brackley
Page 1 of 6

Worksop

(Away)
03 Oct
Worksop
0 : 3
United of Manchester
26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1
Worksop
22 Sept
Worksop
5 : 2
Telford
19 Sept
Telford
2 : 2
Worksop
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0
Southport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 10 7 2 1 22:5 23
2 Macclesfield 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Oxford City 10 6 2 2 18:7 20
4 South Shields 10 6 2 2 15:13 20
5 Hebburn Town 10 5 3 2 16:16 18
6 Spalding United 10 5 2 3 14:8 17
7 Chester 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
8 King’s Lynn 10 5 1 4 20:15 16
9 Buxton 10 5 1 4 18:18 16
10 Bedford 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
11 Morecambe 10 4 2 4 14:9 14
12 Chorley 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Merthyr Town 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
14 Scarborough Athletic 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
15 Hednesford 10 3 3 4 17:17 12
16 Marine 10 4 0 6 12:12 12
17 Harborough 10 3 3 4 10:12 12
18 Worksop 10 4 0 6 10:16 12
19 Brackley 10 3 3 4 11:19 12
20 Southport 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
21 Telford 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
22 Darlington FC 10 2 1 7 12:21 7
23 Spennymoor 10 1 4 5 11:21 7
24 Radcliffe 10 2 0 8 9:20 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)