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Buzios vs Itaborai Profute

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Sun, Jul 5, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buzios host Itaborai Profute in the Carioca C. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Itaborai Profute have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Buzios have conceded 0.75 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Buzios have won 0 to Itaborai Profute's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.56 - 0.94) back Buzios to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Buzios
6%
Draws
4%
Itaborai Profute
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Buzios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Buzios carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Buzios are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Buzios Clean Sheet 20%
Itaborai Profute Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buzios Itaborai Profute
Matches Played 21 8
Wins 8 1
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 2 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Carioca C
Buzios vs Itaborai Profute
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buzios 85 / 100
Itaborai Profute 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buzios Itaborai Profute

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Itaborai Profute conceded in 83% of 6 recent games.

Buzios's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Recent resilience: Buzios stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Itaborai Profute lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buzios VS Itaborai Profute
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardoso Moreira871015:222
2Tigres Brasil852115:617
3Campos AA852115:717
4Grande Rio Brescia Clube73138:610
5Mageense62136:137
6Barcelona EC82065:216
7Itaborai Profute61329:96
8EC Vera Cruz81079:213
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra Mansa74129:513
2Rio Barra841313:1013
3Buzios733115:612
4Uni Souza831415:1110
5Uniao Central831411:1510
6Ceres630310:119
7Caac Brazil82158:167
8Independente RJ71244:85