Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buzios vs Paraty

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Thu, Oct 1, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Buzios host Paraty in the Carioca B2. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Buzios have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.85 conceded recently, against Paraty's 1.52 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Buzios have won 0 to Paraty's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 26, 2025, ending 5:0. xG projections (2.00 - 0.52) back Paraty to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Buzios
15%
Draws
85%
Paraty
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paraty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Paraty carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Buzios a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Buzios Clean Sheet 20%
Paraty Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buzios Paraty
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.46 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2025 Carioca C
Paraty vs Buzios
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buzios 36 / 100
Paraty 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buzios Paraty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Paraty lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Buzios scored in 73% of their last 26 outings.

Paraty's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Buzios VS Paraty
2 Goals Scored 0.29
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Buzios

(Home)
20 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Serra Macaense
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RJ
3 : 0
Buzios
06 Sept
Buzios
0 : 3
Cardoso Moreira
31 Aug
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 1
Buzios
26 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 1
Buzios
Page 1 of 6

Paraty

(Away)
27 Sept
Paraty
0 : 3
Paduano EC
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
06 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 1
Paraty
30 Aug
Paraty
0 : 4
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 5 4 0 1 9:2 12
2 Cardoso Moreira 5 4 0 1 7:2 12
3 Friburguense 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
4 Paduano EC 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 7 de Abril 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
6 Serra Macaense 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
7 Belford Roxo 5 1 3 1 9:6 6
8 Campos AA 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
9 FC Rio de Janeiro 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
10 Barra Mansa 4 0 3 1 5:8 3
11 Buzios 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
12 Paraty 5 0 0 5 2:14 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)