Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Buzios vs Rio Barra

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
dos Santos M.
60'
Gustavo Silva
60'
Felipe

AI Match Summary

The Carioca C game between Buzios and Rio Barra finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Buzios
6%
Draws
4%
Rio Barra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Buzios

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Buzios haven't matched Rio Barra's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Buzios taking it.
  • Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Buzios Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Barra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buzios Rio Barra
Matches Played 21 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Carioca C
Buzios vs Rio Barra
1:1
Jul 6, 2026 Carioca C
Rio Barra vs Buzios
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 Carioca C
Rio Barra vs Buzios
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buzios Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Rio Barra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buzios 95 / 100
Rio Barra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buzios Rio Barra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buzios's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Rio Barra has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Buzios stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Buzios VS Rio Barra
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cardoso Moreira1
Grande Rio Brescia Clube0
Tigres Brasil2
Campos AA3
Rio Barra1
Buzios2
Barra Mansa0
Uni Souza0
Semi-finals
Cardoso Moreira-
Campos AA-
Buzios-
Barra Mansa-
Final
TBD-
TBD-