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Bytom Odrzanski vs Brzeg

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gorski S.
72' Event
Mozola M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group III 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bytom Odrzanski
6%
Draws
4%
Brzeg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bytom Odrzanski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Brzeg have won more games recently than Bytom Odrzanski.
  • Bytom Odrzanski are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Bytom Odrzanski Clean Sheet 68%
Brzeg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bytom Odrzanski Brzeg
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Bytom Odrzanski vs Brzeg
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Bytom Odrzanski
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bytom Odrzanski Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorski S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Brzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Mozola M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bytom Odrzanski 95 / 100
Brzeg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bytom Odrzanski Brzeg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BYT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bytom Odrzanski's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Brzeg let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bytom Odrzanski remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bytom Odrzanski VS Brzeg
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slask Wroclaw II34236575:3075
2Kluczbork34216769:2369
3Legnica II34207772:4567
4Carina Gubin34196962:3663
5Warta Gorzow34187957:3961
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341414648:3456
7Sleza Wroclaw3414101056:4752
8Zielona Gora341571248:3752
9Polkowice341491148:4051
10Pniowek Pawlowice341541542:6349
11Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341391240:4348
12Gornik Zabrze II341391257:4448
13Stilon Gorzow341361542:4445
14Podlesianka Katowice341071751:6137
15Bytom Odrzanski34891742:7133
16Unia Turza Slaska34562328:7321
17Brzeg34392226:6018
18Polonia Slubice34133016:896