Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bzenec-Vracov vs Sternberk

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bzenec-Vracov in this 4. liga - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bzenec-Vracov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bzenec-Vracov
20%
Draws
34%
Sternberk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bzenec-Vracov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • Bzenec-Vracov have won more games recently than Sternberk.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bzenec-Vracov taking it.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bzenec-Vracov have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bzenec-Vracov Clean Sheet 20%
Sternberk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bzenec-Vracov Sternberk
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 12 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 4. liga - Group E
Bzenec-Vracov vs Sternberk
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 4. liga - Group E
Sternberk vs Bzenec-Vracov
2:5
Apr 18, 2025 4. liga - Group E
Bzenec-Vracov vs Sternberk
4:0
Nov 16, 2024 4. liga - Group E
Sternberk vs Bzenec-Vracov
0:1
Mar 30, 2024 4. liga - Group E
Sternberk vs Bzenec-Vracov
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bzenec-Vracov 42 / 100
Sternberk 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bzenec-Vracov Sternberk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sternberk let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Bzenec-Vracov scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Bzenec-Vracov stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bzenec-Vracov VS Sternberk
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bzenec-Vracov

(Home)
25 Jul
Bzenec-Vracov
1 : 0
Breclav
18 Jul
Bzenec-Vracov
1 : 1
Znojmo
12 Jun
Bzenec-Vracov
1 : 1
Uhersky Brod
07 Jun
Slavicin
1 : 0
Bzenec-Vracov
30 May
Bzenec-Vracov
2 : 0
Holesov
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Sternberk

(Away)
25 Jul
Sternberk
2 : 1
Rymarov
03 Jun
FK Kozlovice
3 : 1
Sternberk
30 May
Sternberk
0 : 2
Breclav
24 May
Kromeriz B
2 : 5
Sternberk
12 May
Sternberk
1 : 4
Vsechovice
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