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CA Cambe vs Arapongas

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Firmino
33' Event
Soares Machado M.
38' Event
Firmino

AI Match Summary

Arapongas in this Paranaense 3 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arapongas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CA Cambe
30%
Draws
23%
Arapongas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CA Cambe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Arapongas have won more games recently than CA Cambe.
  • CA Cambe are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
CA Cambe Clean Sheet 20%
Arapongas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Cambe Arapongas
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 Paranaense 3
Arapongas vs CA Cambe
9:0
Sep 4, 2024 Paranaense 3
CA Cambe vs Arapongas
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Cambe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Arapongas Compare

Top Goalscorer Firmino
2 Goals
Assists Leader Soares Machado M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Cambe 42 / 100
Arapongas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Cambe Arapongas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: CA Cambe scored in 60% of their last 25 outings.

Arapongas let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: CA Cambe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CA Cambe VS Arapongas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Cambe

(Home)
19 Sept
CA Cambe
0 : 4
City London
12 Sept
Oeste Brasil
2 : 3
CA Cambe
06 Sept
CA Cambe
1 : 1
Oeste Brasil
30 Aug
City London
0 : 1
CA Cambe
24 Aug
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
0 : 1
CA Cambe
Page 1 of 5

Arapongas

(Away)
09 Nov
Arapongas
1 : 2
Batel
02 Nov
Batel
2 : 2
Arapongas
26 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 2
Iraty
20 Oct
Iraty
0 : 3
Arapongas
13 Oct
Arapongas
0 : 0
Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Batel 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
2 Hope Internacional 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
3 Iraty 8 3 3 2 7:8 12
4 Araucaria 8 2 2 4 7:9 8
5 Prudentopolis 8 1 3 4 5:11 6
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arapongas 8 6 1 1 24:5 19
2 Rolandia EC 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
3 Associacao Portuguesa Londrinense 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
4 Campo Mourao 8 3 1 4 18:15 10
5 CA Cambe 8 0 1 7 3:31 1
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vere FC 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
2 Toledo 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Oeste Brasil 6 3 0 3 10:5 9
4 Uniao PR 6 1 0 5 1:11 3
Promotion - Paranaense 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams