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C.A. Chocorosi vs Fancesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar 2025
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AI Match Summary

Fancesa in this Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
C.A. Chocorosi
15%
Draws
85%
Fancesa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fancesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fancesa have won more games recently than C.A. Chocorosi.
  • Model gives Fancesa a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Fancesa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fancesa, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
C.A. Chocorosi Clean Sheet 10%
Fancesa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric C.A. Chocorosi Fancesa
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0.5 2.07
Goals Conceded 4 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Fancesa vs C.A. Chocorosi
8:0
Aug 30, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
C.A. Chocorosi vs Fancesa
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

C.A. Chocorosi 10 / 100
Fancesa 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
C.A. Chocorosi Fancesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fancesa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Fancesa has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Fancesa lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: C.A. Chocorosi scored in 33% of their last 6 outings.

Scoring Trends

C.A. Chocorosi VS Fancesa
0.5 Goals Scored 2.5
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

C.A. Chocorosi

(Home)
27 Sept
C.A. Chocorosi
0 : 3
Rio San Juan
20 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
3 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
06 Sept
C.A. Chocorosi
0 : 3
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
30 Aug
C.A. Chocorosi
1 : 4
Fancesa
Page 1 of 2

Fancesa

(Away)
26 Oct
Universitario de Sucre
4 : 1
Fancesa
11 Oct
Fancesa
1 : 3
Universitario de Sucre
28 Sept
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Fancesa
21 Sept
Fancesa
1 : 1
Rio San Juan
14 Sept
Fancesa
8 : 0
C.A. Chocorosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 5 0 1 18:5 15
2 Rio San Juan 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
3 Fancesa 6 2 1 3 16:13 7
4 C.A. Chocorosi 6 0 0 6 3:24 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 5 0 1 11:2 15
2 CD Guadalajara 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
3 Central Union 6 2 0 4 8:9 6
4 Ingenieros 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
2 Torre Fuerte 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
3 Nueva Cliza 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
4 Nacional Sucre 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 3 2 1 12:5 11
2 Olympic FC 6 2 3 1 9:3 9
3 CD Ingenio 6 2 2 2 9:11 8
4 Chaco FC 6 0 3 3 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 6 0 0 26:5 18
2 Deportivo Shalon 6 2 0 4 19:12 6
3 Libertad FC 6 2 0 4 6:14 6
4 3 de Febrero 6 2 0 4 6:26 6
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tiquipaya 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Municipal de Tarija 6 3 1 2 16:9 10
3 Pucarani 6 3 0 3 11:6 9
4 Universitario de Pando 6 0 0 6 6:31 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams