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CA Deva vs Castro

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009 game between CA Deva and Castro finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CA Deva
30%
Draws
70%
Castro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Castro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Castro come out ahead of CA Deva on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Castro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
CA Deva Clean Sheet 19%
Castro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Deva Castro
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 4 14
Draws 5 11
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs Castro
3:1
Sep 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs CA Deva
4:1
Apr 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs Castro
0:0
Dec 6, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs CA Deva
0:0
Apr 5, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs CA Deva
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Deva 10 / 100
Castro 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Deva Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Deva's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Castro conceded in 70% of 43 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Castro registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castro
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Deva

(Home)
09 May
Bezana
3 : 0
CA Deva
01 May
CA Deva
0 : 5
SD Noja
24 Apr
Solares
5 : 1
CA Deva
17 Apr
Selaya
2 : 1
CA Deva
11 Apr
CA Deva
0 : 1
SD Reocin
Page 1 of 6

Castro

(Away)
19 Sept
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Castro
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 32 5 1 103:15 101
2 SD Noja 38 25 11 2 85:19 86
3 CD Tropezon 38 24 10 4 56:16 82
4 UM Escobedo 38 21 12 5 74:33 75
5 SD Reocin 38 20 7 11 76:38 67
6 Bezana 38 18 12 8 56:34 66
7 CD Siete Villas 38 14 12 12 51:55 54
8 Castro 38 15 8 15 46:41 53
9 CD Laredo 38 13 10 15 42:51 49
10 Atletico Albericia 38 13 10 15 36:48 49
11 Barreda Balompie 38 14 7 17 42:59 49
12 CA Deva 38 13 9 16 55:48 48
13 Ribamontan al Mar 38 13 7 18 51:56 46
14 Cayon CD 38 10 10 18 47:72 40
15 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 11 6 21 38:65 39
16 Solares 38 9 12 17 36:53 39
17 Vimenor 38 9 11 18 38:56 38
18 Santona 38 9 9 20 41:66 36
19 Guarnizo 38 5 11 22 20:57 26
20 Velarde 38 1 3 34 15:126 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)