Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Estudiantes vs Ciudad Bolivar

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Paredes A.
33' Event
Gonzalez A.
35' Event
Quinteros F.
Assist: Ardiles F.

AI Match Summary

Ciudad Bolivar in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ciudad Bolivar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
CA Estudiantes
20%
Draws
33%
Ciudad Bolivar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CA Estudiantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CA Estudiantes lately — more wins on the board than Ciudad Bolivar.
  • Model gives CA Estudiantes a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%
Ciudad Bolivar Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Estudiantes Ciudad Bolivar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Ciudad Bolivar
1:2
Jun 20, 2026 Primera Nacional
Ciudad Bolivar vs CA Estudiantes
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Estudiantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinteros F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ciudad Bolivar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mucignat F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Estudiantes 59 / 100
Ciudad Bolivar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Estudiantes Ciudad Bolivar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Estudiantes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CA Estudiantes scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CA Estudiantes has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ciudad Bolivar has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

CA Estudiantes VS Ciudad Bolivar
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Estudiantes

(Home)
26 Sept
CA Estudiantes
2 : 1
San Miguel
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
13 Sept
CA Estudiantes
1 : 0
Acassuso
06 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0
CA Estudiantes
30 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 2
Ferro
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Ciudad Bolivar

(Away)
26 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
2 : 1
Chaco For Ever
19 Sept
Ferro
1 : 0
Ciudad Bolivar
12 Sept
Ciudad Bolivar
0 : 0
Central Norte
06 Sept
Deportivo Madryn
3 : 1
Ciudad Bolivar
29 Aug
Ciudad Bolivar
1 : 0
Defensores de Belgrano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 31 18 7 6 36:25 61
2 Deportivo Moron 31 16 7 8 49:31 55
3 Godoy Cruz 31 15 8 8 40:28 53
4 Deportivo Madryn 31 13 11 7 44:28 50
5 Colon Santa Fe 31 13 10 8 38:25 49
6 Almirante Brown 31 12 10 9 23:18 46
7 CA Estudiantes 31 12 9 10 29:26 45
8 Ciudad Bolivar 31 10 12 9 26:28 42
9 Los Andes 31 9 13 9 24:21 40
10 Chaco For Ever 31 9 9 13 28:31 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 31 8 12 11 23:27 36
12 Racing Cordoba 31 9 9 13 28:38 36
13 San Telmo 31 8 10 13 25:34 34
14 All Boys 31 6 15 10 17:26 33
15 Central Norte 31 6 14 11 19:28 32
16 CA Mitre 31 6 14 11 27:39 32
17 San Miguel 31 6 13 12 25:36 31
18 Acassuso 31 7 8 16 22:34 29
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 31 15 12 4 32:15 57
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 31 15 9 7 47:38 54
3 Temperley 31 14 11 6 36:25 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 31 16 4 11 35:28 52
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 31 13 9 9 32:27 48
6 Midland 31 13 8 10 34:26 47
7 San Martin S.J. 31 12 9 10 33:30 45
8 Deportivo Maipu 31 12 8 11 38:31 44
9 Colegiales 31 12 7 12 31:31 43
10 Atl. Rafaela 31 11 9 11 25:27 42
11 San Martin T. 31 9 13 9 34:32 40
12 Quilmes 31 10 8 13 30:27 38
13 Nueva Chicago 31 9 9 13 23:29 36
14 Agropecuario 31 9 9 13 26:35 36
15 Almagro 31 9 8 14 26:37 35
16 Patronato 31 6 16 9 27:31 34
17 Chacarita Juniors 31 8 6 17 23:33 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 31 5 8 18 23:53 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)