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CA Itapemirim vs Nova Venecia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Rhamon Mexicano
37'
Pedro Emanuel
43'
Iranildo

AI Match Summary

Nova Venecia in this Capixaba 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nova Venecia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
CA Itapemirim
15%
Draws
85%
Nova Venecia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nova Venecia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CA Itapemirim lately — more wins on the board than Nova Venecia.
  • Model gives Nova Venecia a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
CA Itapemirim Clean Sheet 23%
Nova Venecia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Itapemirim Nova Venecia
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.2
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2023 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Nova Venecia
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Itapemirim Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Nova Venecia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago Bettim
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dodo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Itapemirim 29 / 100
Nova Venecia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Itapemirim Nova Venecia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Venecia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Nova Venecia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Nova Venecia has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

CA Itapemirim's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nova Venecia
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Itapemirim

(Home)
11 Mar
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Vitoria ES
02 Mar
Rio Branco ES
2 : 1
CA Itapemirim
26 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 5
Nova Venecia
15 Feb
Serra
2 : 0
CA Itapemirim
09 Feb
CA Itapemirim
0 : 2
Estrela do Norte
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Nova Venecia

(Away)
23 Feb
Vitoria ES
5 : 1
Nova Venecia
16 Feb
Nova Venecia
0 : 2
Real Noroeste
13 Feb
Rio Branco-VN
2 : 0
Nova Venecia
09 Feb
Nova Venecia
2 : 1
Porto Vitoria
06 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
2 : 0
Nova Venecia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES 9 6 1 2 20:8 19
2 Porto Vitoria 9 6 1 2 20:12 19
3 Real Noroeste 9 6 0 3 15:9 18
4 Nova Venecia 9 5 0 4 16:9 15
5 Rio Branco ES 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
6 Serra 9 4 3 2 15:11 15
7 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 3 2 4 8:14 11
8 Estrela do Norte 9 3 1 5 9:11 10
9 Vilavelhense 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
10 CA Itapemirim 9 0 0 9 2:26 0
Promotion - Capixaba 2023 (Play Offs)