Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Iglesias J.
19'
19'
Bellido T.
27'
27'
Bellido T.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Primera C game between CA Lugano and Sportivo Barracas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Lugano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: CA Lugano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sportivo Barracas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans CA Lugano's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
CA Lugano Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Barracas Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Lugano | Sportivo Barracas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 36 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Sportivo Barracas
3:2
Apr 8, 2026 Primera C
Sportivo Barracas vs CA Lugano
3:0
Sep 16, 2024 Primera C
Sportivo Barracas vs CA Lugano
2:1
Apr 14, 2024 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Sportivo Barracas
0:0
Oct 30, 2023 Primera D
Sportivo Barracas vs CA Lugano
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CA Lugano Compare
Top Goalscorer Iglesias J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Coselli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Sportivo Barracas Compare
Top Goalscorer Bellido T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CA Lugano 68 / 100
Sportivo Barracas 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CA Lugano Sportivo Barracas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
CA Lugano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
CA Lugano's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sportivo Barracas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
CA Lugano VS Sportivo Barracas
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
CA Lugano
(Home) 17 Jul
CA Lugano
3 : 2 Sportivo Barracas
12 Jul
Juventud Unida San Miguel
0 : 0 CA Lugano
04 Jul
CA Lugano
0 : 0 Justo Jose de Urquiza
27 Jun
Sacachispas
0 : 1 CA Lugano
14 Jun
CA Lugano
1 : 0 Mercedes
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
CA Lugano
3 : 2 Sportivo Barracas
04 Jul
CA Lugano
0 : 0 Justo Jose de Urquiza
14 Jun
CA Lugano
1 : 0 Mercedes
30 May
CA Lugano
0 : 0 Deportivo Paraguayo
10 May
CA Lugano
3 : 0 Puerto Nuevo
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Barracas
(Away) 17 Jul
CA Lugano
3 : 2 Sportivo Barracas
13 Jul
Fenix
2 : 1 Sportivo Barracas
06 Jul
Sportivo Barracas
2 : 3 Yupanqui
29 Jun
Sportivo Barracas
2 : 0 Club Lujan
15 Jun
Sportivo Barracas
2 : 0 General Lamadrid
Page 1 of 8
17 Jul
CA Lugano
3 : 2 Sportivo Barracas
13 Jul
Fenix
2 : 1 Sportivo Barracas
06 Jun
Leones de Rosario
2 : 0 Sportivo Barracas
23 May
Canuelas
3 : 1 Sportivo Barracas
04 May
Deportivo Espanol
0 : 0 Sportivo Barracas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacachispas | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 24:14 | 34 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 23:14 | 32 |
| 3 | CSR Espanol | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 26:17 | 30 |
| 4 | CA Lugano | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 24:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Puerto Nuevo | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | 29 |
| 6 | Estrella Del Sur | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 21:17 | 28 |
| 7 | Victoriano Arenas | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 17:13 | 27 |
| 8 | Mercedes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:11 | 26 |
| 9 | Leandro N. Alem | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24:32 | 26 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 18:19 | 22 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 15:21 | 22 |
| 12 | Argentino de Rosario | 20 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 13 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 19 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 6:18 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10:25 | 16 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canuelas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 22:12 | 33 |
| 2 | Club Lujan | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 22:14 | 33 |
| 3 | Leones de Rosario | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 29 |
| 4 | Yupanqui | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 28 |
| 5 | Deportivo Espanol | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 17:14 | 28 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 18:20 | 28 |
| 7 | El Porvenir | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 15:13 | 25 |
| 8 | Sportivo Barracas | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 9 | Atlas | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 10 | CSD Central Ballester | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 11 | Claypole | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 15:23 | 21 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba (Rosario) | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12:15 | 20 |
| 13 | Fenix | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 13:21 | 20 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 14:17 | 18 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)