Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Iglesias J.
19'
19'
Bellido T.
27'
27'
Bellido T.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Primera C game between CA Lugano and Sportivo Barracas finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Lugano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CA Lugano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- CA Lugano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans CA Lugano's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Primera C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
CA Lugano Clean Sheet 68%
Sportivo Barracas Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | CA Lugano | Sportivo Barracas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 17, 2026 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Sportivo Barracas
3:2
Apr 8, 2026 Primera C
Sportivo Barracas vs CA Lugano
3:0
Sep 16, 2024 Primera C
Sportivo Barracas vs CA Lugano
2:1
Apr 14, 2024 Primera C
CA Lugano vs Sportivo Barracas
0:0
Oct 30, 2023 Primera D
Sportivo Barracas vs CA Lugano
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
CA Lugano Compare
Top Goalscorer Iglesias J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Coselli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Sportivo Barracas Compare
Top Goalscorer Bellido T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
CA Lugano 59 / 100
Sportivo Barracas 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
CA Lugano Sportivo Barracas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CA Lugano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
CA Lugano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
CA Lugano's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sportivo Barracas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
CA Lugano VS Sportivo Barracas
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
CA Lugano
(Home) 26 Sept
Deportivo Paraguayo
1 : 1 CA Lugano
20 Sept
CA Lugano
1 : 1 Estrella Del Sur
12 Sept
CA Lugano
0 : 0 Leones de Rosario
06 Sept
Puerto Nuevo
0 : 1 CA Lugano
31 Aug
CA Lugano
1 : 1 Berazategui
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
CA Lugano
1 : 1 Estrella Del Sur
12 Sept
CA Lugano
0 : 0 Leones de Rosario
31 Aug
CA Lugano
1 : 1 Berazategui
16 Aug
CA Lugano
1 : 2 Club Lujan
09 Aug
CA Lugano
0 : 0 Victoriano Arenas
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Barracas
(Away) 27 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1 Sportivo Barracas
21 Sept
Sportivo Barracas
0 : 2 Canuelas
13 Sept
Defensores de Cambaceres
1 : 0 Sportivo Barracas
07 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
0 : 2 Sportivo Barracas
31 Aug
Sportivo Barracas
0 : 1 Deportivo Espanol
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1 Sportivo Barracas
13 Sept
Defensores de Cambaceres
1 : 0 Sportivo Barracas
07 Sept
Deportivo Muniz
0 : 2 Sportivo Barracas
26 Aug
CSD Central Ballester
0 : 0 Sportivo Barracas
23 Aug
Central Cordoba (Rosario)
2 : 1 Sportivo Barracas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Berazategui | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 35:21 | 48 |
| 2 | CA Lugano | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 33:25 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacachispas | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 32:26 | 46 |
| 4 | CSR Espanol | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 37:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Estrella Del Sur | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 31:29 | 44 |
| 6 | Mercedes | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 29:23 | 43 |
| 7 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 35:29 | 42 |
| 8 | Victoriano Arenas | 30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 23:19 | 41 |
| 9 | Puerto Nuevo | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 27:31 | 38 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 25:30 | 36 |
| 11 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 22:38 | 31 |
| 12 | Leandro N. Alem | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29:51 | 31 |
| 13 | Justo Jose de Urquiza | 30 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 15:25 | 29 |
| 14 | Argentino de Rosario | 30 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 27:39 | 24 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Lujan | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 44:22 | 58 |
| 2 | Canuelas | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 38:21 | 57 |
| 3 | Deportivo Espanol | 30 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 24:15 | 48 |
| 4 | Central Cordoba (Rosario) | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 31:22 | 46 |
| 5 | Leones de Rosario | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 27:24 | 45 |
| 6 | General Lamadrid | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 23:26 | 40 |
| 7 | Sportivo Barracas | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 32:30 | 39 |
| 8 | CSD Central Ballester | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28:28 | 38 |
| 9 | Atlas | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 23:26 | 37 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | 23:27 | 36 |
| 11 | Yupanqui | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 33:34 | 35 |
| 12 | Claypole | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 24:38 | 32 |
| 13 | Fenix | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 22:30 | 31 |
| 14 | Deportivo Muniz | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 17:33 | 23 |
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)
