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CA Metropolitano vs Gremio Juventus

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cristiano
32' Event
Cristiano

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between CA Metropolitano and Gremio Juventus finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
CA Metropolitano
39%
Draws
31%
Gremio Juventus
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CA Metropolitano come out ahead of Gremio Juventus on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 68%
Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Metropolitano Gremio Juventus
Matches Played 28 20
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Gremio Juventus
2:0
Jul 27, 2025 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs CA Metropolitano
0:0
Jun 9, 2024 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs CA Metropolitano
0:0
Jul 16, 2023 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Gremio Juventus
0:3
Apr 18, 2021 Catarinense
CA Metropolitano vs Gremio Juventus
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristiano
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Gremio Juventus Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 41 / 100
Gremio Juventus 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Metropolitano Gremio Juventus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Metropolitano scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Gremio Juventus has conceded goals in 70% of their last 20 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

CA Metropolitano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Gremio Juventus
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Metropolitano

(Home)
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
05 Jul
CA Metropolitano
2 : 1
Caravaggio
01 Jul
Nacao
0 : 0
CA Metropolitano
Page 1 of 6

Gremio Juventus

(Away)
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Hercilio Luz
1 : 0
Gremio Juventus
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
08 Jul
Blumenau
1 : 1
Gremio Juventus
04 Jul
Gremio Juventus
8 : 1
Jaragua-SC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz16122233:938
2CA Metropolitano16102431:1832
3Caravaggio1694344:1931
4Blumenau1684432:1328
5Tubarao1665522:1723
6Fluminense-SC1653814:2118
7Nacao1646616:2418
8Gremio Juventus1652916:2117
9Guarani de Palhoca1645715:2417
10Jaragua-SC1601156:631
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)