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CA Metropolitano vs Nacao

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ariel
21' Event
Bicca M.
34' Event
Jeronimo

AI Match Summary

CA Metropolitano in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
CA Metropolitano
30%
Draws
34%
Nacao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CA Metropolitano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CA Metropolitano lately — more wins on the board than Nacao.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on CA Metropolitano taking it.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 68%
Nacao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Metropolitano Nacao
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 13 4
Draws 7 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs CA Metropolitano
0:0
May 6, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Nacao
5:2
Jun 15, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Nacao
4:2
Jul 23, 2023 Catarinense 2
Nacao vs CA Metropolitano
3:2
Jun 4, 2022 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Nacao
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeronimo
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ariel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Nacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Bicca M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miranda G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Metropolitano 46 / 100
Nacao 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Metropolitano Nacao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

CA Metropolitano found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: CA Metropolitano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Nacao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

CA Metropolitano VS Nacao
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz15112231:935
2Caravaggio1593342:1730
3CA Metropolitano1592425:1729
4Blumenau1583431:1227
5Tubarao1565422:1523
6Fluminense-SC1553714:1818
7Nacao1545614:2217
8Guarani de Palhoca1544714:2316
9Gremio Juventus1542913:2114
10Jaragua-SC1501145:571