Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Mitre vs San Telmo

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CA Mitre host San Telmo in the Primera Nacional. This one's hard to separate. San Telmo have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while CA Mitre have conceded 1.21 and scored 0.9. Past meetings favor CA Mitre slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 0.88, favoring CA Mitre. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
CA Mitre
35%
Draws
45%
San Telmo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Telmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • San Telmo have won more games recently than CA Mitre.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
CA Mitre Clean Sheet 25%
San Telmo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Mitre San Telmo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 14 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.9 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs CA Mitre
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs San Telmo
3:0
Apr 20, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs CA Mitre
0:0
Jun 23, 2024 Primera Nacional
San Telmo vs CA Mitre
0:0
Feb 3, 2024 Primera Nacional
CA Mitre vs San Telmo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Mitre 33 / 100
San Telmo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Mitre San Telmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Telmo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Mitre found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

San Telmo has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

CA Mitre has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

CA Mitre VS San Telmo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Mitre

(Home)
19 Sept
Acassuso
2 : 0
CA Mitre
13 Sept
CA Mitre
0 : 0
Chaco For Ever
04 Sept
Ferro
0 : 0
CA Mitre
30 Aug
CA Mitre
2 : 2
Central Norte
21 Aug
Deportivo Madryn
4 : 0
CA Mitre
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San Telmo

(Away)
19 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 1
CA Estudiantes
12 Sept
All Boys
0 : 1
San Telmo
05 Sept
San Telmo
0 : 0
Los Andes
30 Aug
Godoy Cruz
3 : 0
San Telmo
26 Aug
Acassuso
1 : 2
San Telmo
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 30 17 7 6 35:25 58
2 Deportivo Moron 30 16 7 7 48:29 55
3 Godoy Cruz 30 15 7 8 38:26 52
4 Deportivo Madryn 30 13 10 7 44:28 49
5 Colon Santa Fe 30 13 9 8 38:25 48
6 Almirante Brown 30 12 10 8 23:17 46
7 CA Estudiantes 30 11 9 10 27:25 42
8 Ciudad Bolivar 30 9 12 9 24:27 39
9 Los Andes 30 8 13 9 22:20 37
10 Chaco For Ever 30 9 9 12 27:29 36
11 Defensores de Belgrano 30 8 12 10 23:26 36
12 Racing Cordoba 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
13 All Boys 30 6 14 10 17:26 32
14 CA Mitre 30 6 14 10 27:37 32
15 Central Norte 30 6 13 11 19:28 31
16 San Miguel 30 6 13 11 24:34 31
17 San Telmo 30 7 10 13 23:34 31
18 Acassuso 30 6 8 16 21:34 26
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 30 14 12 4 31:15 54
2 Temperley 30 14 11 5 36:24 53
3 Gimnasia Jujuy 30 15 8 7 45:36 53
4 Atletico Atlanta 30 15 4 11 34:28 49
5 Midland 30 13 8 9 34:25 47
6 San Martin S.J. 30 12 9 9 33:27 45
7 Gimnasia y Tiro 30 12 9 9 31:27 45
8 Atl. Rafaela 30 11 9 10 25:26 42
9 Deportivo Maipu 30 11 8 11 37:31 41
10 Colegiales 30 11 7 12 29:30 40
11 San Martin T. 30 9 12 9 32:30 39
12 Agropecuario 30 9 9 12 26:34 36
13 Quilmes 30 9 8 13 28:27 35
14 Almagro 30 9 8 13 26:36 35
15 Nueva Chicago 30 8 9 13 22:29 33
16 Patronato 30 5 16 9 24:31 31
17 Chacarita Juniors 30 8 6 16 22:31 30
18 Club Atletico Guemes 30 5 8 17 23:51 23
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)