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CA Porto vs 1º de Maio

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CA Porto in this Pernambucano 2 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Porto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
CA Porto
35%
Draws
9%
1º de Maio
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CA Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: 1º de Maio at 0.97 per game, CA Porto at 0.76.
  • CA Porto are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
CA Porto Clean Sheet 19%
1º de Maio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Porto 1º de Maio
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 7 7
Draws 14 9
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.76 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2019 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs 1º de Maio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Porto 76 / 100
1º de Maio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Porto 1º de Maio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Porto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º de Maio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 35 matches.

CA Porto has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: 1º de Maio registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

CA Porto found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

CA Porto VS 1º de Maio
0.75 Goals Scored 0.86
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.29
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Porto

(Home)
11 Oct
Academica Vitoria
3 : 2
CA Porto
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Caruaru
0 : 0
CA Porto
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
17 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Academica Vitoria
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1º de Maio

(Away)
02 Nov
1º de Maio
0 : 2
Caruaru
27 Oct
Belo Jardim
2 : 1
1º de Maio
20 Oct
Pesqueira
1 : 1
1º de Maio
13 Oct
1º de Maio
1 : 3
America PE
08 Oct
Aguia FC
4 : 1
1º de Maio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Retro 7 3 4 0 10:5 13
2 CA Porto 7 3 4 0 8:3 13
3 Decisao 7 3 3 1 11:4 12
4 Vera Cruz 7 3 3 1 7:8 12
5 Centro Limoeirense 7 1 3 3 5:7 6
6 Ibis Sport Club 7 1 3 3 4:8 6
7 1º de Maio 7 1 2 4 6:11 5
8 Ipojuca 7 0 4 3 5:10 4
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2019 (Second stage)