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CA Porto vs Cabense

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with CA Porto advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CA Porto
35%
Draws
30%
Cabense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cabense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • CA Porto are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Cabense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CA Porto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
CA Porto Clean Sheet 20%
Cabense Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Porto Cabense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 13 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.7 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2017 Pernambucano 2
Cabense vs CA Porto
3:1
Oct 25, 2017 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Cabense
1:0
Apr 3, 2011 Pernambucano
CA Porto vs Cabense
4:1
Feb 6, 2011 Pernambucano
Cabense vs CA Porto
2:1
Apr 7, 2010 Pernambucano
Cabense vs CA Porto
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Porto 49 / 100
Cabense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Porto Cabense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Porto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: CA Porto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CA Porto found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

CA Porto VS Cabense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Porto

(Home)
11 Oct
Academica Vitoria
3 : 2
CA Porto
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Caruaru
0 : 0
CA Porto
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
17 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Academica Vitoria
Page 1 of 6

Cabense

(Away)
15 Sept
Decisao
3 : 1
Cabense
07 Sept
Cabense
1 : 1
Decisao
31 Aug
Ipojuca
0 : 1
Cabense
24 Aug
Jaguar
3 : 2
Cabense
17 Aug
Cabense
1 : 1
Ibis Sport Club
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
CA Porto 2
Cabense 3
Centro Limoeirense 1
Pesqueira 2
Sete de Setembro (PE) 4
Vera Cruz 2
Ibis Sport Club 2
Decisao 3
Semi-finals
Cabense 1
Pesqueira 3
Sete de Setembro (PE) 2
Decisao 5
Final
Pesqueira 2
Decisao 1