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CA Porto vs Cha Grande

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CA Porto in this Pernambucano 2 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Porto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
CA Porto
6%
Draws
4%
Cha Grande
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CA Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cha Grande haven't matched CA Porto's recent run of results.
  • CA Porto are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
CA Porto Clean Sheet 17%
Cha Grande Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Porto Cha Grande
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 15 10
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.75 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2022 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Cha Grande
0:0
Oct 4, 2017 Pernambucano 2
Cha Grande vs CA Porto
1:2
Oct 1, 2017 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Cha Grande
1:0
Jan 19, 2014 Pernambucano
CA Porto vs Cha Grande
1:0
Dec 19, 2013 Pernambucano
Cha Grande vs CA Porto
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Porto 84 / 100
Cha Grande 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Porto Cha Grande

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cha Grande conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

CA Porto has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Cha Grande has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CA Porto VS Cha Grande
0.75 Goals Scored 1.14
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cabense851222:716
2Vera Cruz843118:715
3Ibis Sport Club84316:415
4Centro Limoeirense80444:124
5Ferroviario do Cabo80353:233
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pesqueira835012:614
2Decisao834110:613
3Sete de Setembro (PE)832311:1111
4CA Porto83239:1011
5Cha Grande80354:133