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CA Porto vs Vera Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2019 game between CA Porto and Vera Cruz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vera Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
CA Porto
35%
Draws
9%
Vera Cruz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CA Porto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • CA Porto haven't matched Vera Cruz's recent run of results.
  • CA Porto are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CA Porto Clean Sheet 20%
Vera Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Porto Vera Cruz
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 13 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.74 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs CA Porto
0:2
Dec 2, 2020 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Vera Cruz
0:1
Nov 3, 2019 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Vera Cruz
1:1
Oct 21, 2019 Pernambucano 2
CA Porto vs Vera Cruz
1:2
Aug 3, 2019 Pernambucano 2
Vera Cruz vs CA Porto
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Porto 76 / 100
Vera Cruz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Porto Vera Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Porto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vera Cruz has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CA Porto remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Vera Cruz has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CA Porto VS Vera Cruz
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Porto

(Home)
11 Oct
Academica Vitoria
3 : 2
CA Porto
08 Oct
CA Porto
1 : 0
Aguia FC
04 Oct
Caruaru
0 : 0
CA Porto
27 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Ypiranga
17 Sept
CA Porto
0 : 0
Academica Vitoria
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Vera Cruz

(Away)
17 Oct
Vera Cruz
2 : 2
Ipojuca
11 Oct
Centro Limoeirense
1 : 0
Vera Cruz
08 Oct
Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Belo Jardim
28 Sept
America PE
2 : 0
Vera Cruz
21 Sept
Ipojuca
3 : 1
Vera Cruz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vera Cruz 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
2 Retro 5 3 2 0 6:1 11
3 Decisao 5 2 2 1 4:1 8
4 CA Porto 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
5 Ibis Sport Club 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
6 Centro Limoeirense 5 1 0 4 3:12 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2019 (Third stage)